07.12.2012 Aufrufe

Erdfernerkundung - Numerische Physik: Modellierung

Erdfernerkundung - Numerische Physik: Modellierung

Erdfernerkundung - Numerische Physik: Modellierung

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276 KAPITEL 5. DIE ERWEITERTE PERSPEKTIVE: CAWSES<br />

Abbildung 5.43: variation in ozone<br />

(top) and temperature (bottom) at<br />

75N following a large solar energetic<br />

particle event during a magnetic field<br />

reversal (based on [226])<br />

§ 914 The simulation in Fig. 5.43 can be regarded as a first indication for a solar energetic<br />

particle induced modification of the climate. The model atmosphere used to obtain that<br />

result has been build primarily for the study of atmospheric chemistry. The model is a 2D<br />

model only, that is it considers the vertical coordinate and latitude as horizontal coordinate<br />

because the relevant transport processes in the atmosphere are meridional. In consequence,<br />

atmospheric circulation can not be treated self-consistently. Instead, it is parameterized such<br />

that only the meridional component is allowed to vary while the azimuthal transport is<br />

fixed. Such a model cannot adjust completely to a different temperature pattern driving the<br />

circulation systems. Thus the results in Fig. 5.43 give an indication only.<br />

§ 915 Within the framework of CAWSES it is planned to use the MPI Hamburg model HAM-<br />

MONIA (http://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/depts/dep1/uma/hammonia/) to model possible<br />

consequences of precipitating solar energetic particles for climate in more detail. It should<br />

be noted that this implies a large amount of computational resources. Thus the simple first<br />

estimate in Fig. 5.43 has been relevant in such that it has confirmed that the process under<br />

study is possible and worth further investigation. Without such a preliminary study it would<br />

have been irresponsible to start the study with the full climate model.<br />

2. Juli 2008 c○ M.-B. Kallenrode

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