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Regional Basic Professional Training Course in Korea

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<strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Basic</strong> <strong>Professional</strong> <strong>Tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Course</strong> (BPTC) on Nuclear Safety<br />

Human Reliability data.<br />

9.3.2. Frequency of <strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g Events<br />

9.3.2.1. Quantification methods<br />

In so far as possible, priority should be given to experience feedback <strong>in</strong> quantification.<br />

For events of observable frequency, the values used are specific ones derived from<br />

operat<strong>in</strong>g experience (e.g., loss of feedwater plant, loss of off-site electrical power<br />

supplies, spurious safety <strong>in</strong>jections, etc.).<br />

For less frequent events, the values can be derived from worldwide feedback<br />

experience (steam generator tube rupture, small primary breaks). Generic values<br />

can be comb<strong>in</strong>ed with specific values by us<strong>in</strong>g Bayesian methods.<br />

For extremely rare events, the values can be estimated by expert judgment,<br />

allowance be<strong>in</strong>g made <strong>in</strong> particular for the absence of observation anywhere <strong>in</strong> the<br />

world and the values used <strong>in</strong> foreign studies (e.g., large primary and secondary<br />

system breaks).<br />

When the <strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g event is the loss of a system, quantification is based on a<br />

reliability study (e.g., electrical power blackout and loss of the CCW system). In<br />

this case, quantification is carried out with the tools used for systems analysis (fault<br />

trees, Markov graphs, etc.)<br />

9.3.2.2. Quantification of sub-<strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g events<br />

Division between reactor states: A dist<strong>in</strong>ction can be made between sub-<strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

events directly associated with the reactor state and sub-<strong>in</strong>itiat<strong>in</strong>g events which can<br />

occur <strong>in</strong> a number of reactor states. In the second case, the division is made on the<br />

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