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Regional Basic Professional Training Course in Korea

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<strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Basic</strong> <strong>Professional</strong> <strong>Tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Course</strong> (BPTC) on Nuclear Safety<br />

will also be accompanied by stochastic effect.<br />

The delayed reaction to a stochastic effect is expressed by a risk factor (also known as a<br />

probability coefficient). These factors can be <strong>in</strong>dividually assigned to different conditions<br />

(leukaemia) of grouped together to <strong>in</strong>clude an overall category (solid cancers of all types).<br />

If the risk factor for leukaemia <strong>in</strong>duction is 3 x 10 ‐6 mSv ‐1 , for example, then a population<br />

of 10 6 irradiated with 1 mSv would be expected to yield 3 extra cases, on average, over<br />

and above the normal <strong>in</strong>cidence. Alternatively, the risk factor for the excess number of<br />

solid cancers over a lifetime <strong>in</strong> the population at large is expressed as 50 x 10 ‐6 mSv ‐1 .<br />

The <strong>in</strong>terpretation is that 50 extra patients with solid cancers would be expected <strong>in</strong> a one<br />

million population irradiated with 1 mSv. Risk Estimates agreed by both ICRP and NCRP<br />

[1], [4] are summarized <strong>in</strong> [5], [9].<br />

Fig (2.10) The different l<strong>in</strong>es on the stochastic graph refer to different conditions, e.g. leukaemia,<br />

chromosome aberrations, etc. Different l<strong>in</strong>es on the determ<strong>in</strong>istic graph refer to the<br />

response of different groups of people, e.g. to sk<strong>in</strong> damage, cataract formation, etc.<br />

Note the presence of a threshold <strong>in</strong> the determ<strong>in</strong>istic effects.<br />

❙ 90 ❙

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