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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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123capacity of the UN, but as <strong>de</strong>scribed <strong>in</strong> Chapter 1 of this study, this was someth<strong>in</strong>g that the UN did notpossess. Voorhoeve had previously <strong>de</strong>clared this to Parliam<strong>en</strong>t as well: the UN had no <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ceservice of its own and was therefore unaware of the VRS strategy. 579This <strong>de</strong>monstrated that the M<strong>in</strong>ister had not fully fathomed the process beh<strong>in</strong>d gather<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. Dropp<strong>in</strong>g special units beh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>en</strong>emy l<strong>in</strong>es is one method of gather<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce, but, ofcourse, not the only one. Perhaps the M<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce and the Netherlands Army should havefocused on utiliz<strong>in</strong>g the possibility of gather<strong>in</strong>g Sig<strong>in</strong>t from the <strong>en</strong>clave as effectively as possible. Itwould have be<strong>en</strong> possible to operate an Electronic Warfare Unit from Tuzla <strong>in</strong> support of their ownbattalion. This unit could have conc<strong>en</strong>trated on <strong>in</strong>tercept<strong>in</strong>g VHF communication traffic, and wouldhave be<strong>en</strong> effective with<strong>in</strong> an area of over 50 kilometres around the <strong>de</strong>ploym<strong>en</strong>t position. This optionwas ev<strong>en</strong> proposed by the MIS/Army, but Couzy rejected it. In a UN context, no <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce tasksnee<strong>de</strong>d to be executed. 580Such an arrangem<strong>en</strong>t would have strongly improved the negotiat<strong>in</strong>g position of The Hague <strong>in</strong>the <strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community. Furthermore, the remark that with<strong>in</strong> the framework ofUNPROFOR the Netherlands had no spies among the Serbs was a strange start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t to adopt. Forthe sake of Force Protection, the M<strong>in</strong>ister should perhaps have <strong>en</strong>couraged the MIS/CO or theComman<strong>de</strong>r-<strong>in</strong>-Chief of the Royal Netherlands Army through his MIS/Army to take such a step.Force Protection <strong>in</strong> particular implies that special att<strong>en</strong>tion be paid to counter<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce (subversion,espionage and terrorism). 581 If this had succee<strong>de</strong>d, th<strong>en</strong> The Hague would no longer have be<strong>en</strong> arequest<strong>in</strong>g party on the national and <strong>in</strong>ternational stage, and would also have received more <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce<strong>in</strong> return on a quid pro quo basis.The question th<strong>en</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>s as to how the m<strong>in</strong>isters and the s<strong>en</strong>ior M<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce officialsactually did receive their <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. The MIS/CO reported directly and through special brief<strong>in</strong>gs tothe M<strong>in</strong>isters Ter Beek and Voorhoeve, the s<strong>en</strong>ior m<strong>in</strong>istry officials and military officers. Thesebrief<strong>in</strong>gs, by the MIS/CO’s only Balkans analyst, took place <strong>in</strong> the meet<strong>in</strong>gs of the <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce CrisisManagem<strong>en</strong>t C<strong>en</strong>tre (DCBC). They were carried out on behalf of the CDS responsible for policyguidance and evaluation of crisis managem<strong>en</strong>t operations. The C<strong>en</strong>tre was foun<strong>de</strong>d dur<strong>in</strong>g the GulfWar. The branches of the Armed Forces contributed the necessary officers and NCOs, but until the582autumn of 1994 they still did not have the requisite qualities.At the time there was an MIS cell at the <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce Crisis Managem<strong>en</strong>t C<strong>en</strong>tre, (DCBC) but the<strong>de</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t’s s<strong>en</strong>ior officials took hardly any <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> it. The Balkans analyst himself consi<strong>de</strong>red the<strong>in</strong>formation giv<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong> the brief<strong>in</strong>gs to be ‘pearls cast before sw<strong>in</strong>e’. MIS/Air Force staff, who sometimesatt<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>d brief<strong>in</strong>gs at the C<strong>en</strong>tre, confirmed this. The team at the MIS cell was not a strong one: onlythe MIS/CO analyst had suffici<strong>en</strong>t calibre but he only carried out the political-strategic part. This<strong>in</strong>flu<strong>en</strong>ced the Head of the MIS, Kok, <strong>in</strong> back<strong>in</strong>g a proposal to disband the cell. It was later <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d,un<strong>de</strong>r Knapp, to re-establish a similar MIS cell, but that was after the fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. Better qualifiedpeople were th<strong>en</strong> assigned. 583On weekdays, the MIS cell arranged brief<strong>in</strong>gs and <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce summaries. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to someMIS officials, the brief<strong>in</strong>gs by the MIS/CO were occasionally too pro-Serbian <strong>in</strong> tone. However, theysaw this ma<strong>in</strong>ly as an attempt to offer a counterweight to the pro-Bosnian attitu<strong>de</strong> of the s<strong>en</strong>iorM<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce officials. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to many MIS personnel, there was a constant ‘good guys, badguys’ m<strong>en</strong>tality <strong>in</strong> the air, with no room for subtle dist<strong>in</strong>ctions. The MIS/CO analyst discovered thisdur<strong>in</strong>g brief<strong>in</strong>gs for the DCBC, where occasionally there was an elem<strong>en</strong>t of a selective perception ofthe ev<strong>en</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> Bosnia. This analyst was to receive a ‘reprimand’ from Voorhoeve <strong>in</strong> June 1998. He was579 ‘Voorhoeve wist <strong>van</strong> aanvoer Serviërs naar Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (‘Voorhoeve knew of supply of Serbs to Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’), <strong>De</strong> Volkskrant, 11/07/96.580 Interview with H. Bosch, 10/10/01. See especially : Chapter 5 of this study.581 Drs. R. Theun<strong>en</strong>s, ‘<strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> <strong>en</strong> vre<strong>de</strong>soperaties’ (‘<strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> and peace operations’), Militaire Spectator, Vol . 170 (2001) 11 , p. 600.582 MoD , Archive DCBC, Cab<strong>in</strong>et 15, File 1, 2212, Notes ‘Improv<strong>in</strong>g effectiv<strong>en</strong>ess and effici<strong>en</strong>cy’, 19/10/94.583 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terviews (25 ) , ( 26 ) and ( 31).

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