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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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83Bosnia. This raises the question of the ext<strong>en</strong>t to which this was also true <strong>in</strong> the various services thatsupplied the <strong>in</strong>formation concerned.2. The Netherlands Foreign <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> ServiceIn its <strong>in</strong>itial form, the Netherlands foreign <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce service was foun<strong>de</strong>d <strong>in</strong> 1946 as the Buit<strong>en</strong>landseInlicht<strong>in</strong>g<strong>en</strong>di<strong>en</strong>st (BID) and, by Royal <strong>De</strong>cree, was replaced by the Inlicht<strong>in</strong>g<strong>en</strong>di<strong>en</strong>st Buit<strong>en</strong>land (IDB) on 5August 1972. Significant <strong>in</strong>formation on the history, terms of refer<strong>en</strong>ce and work<strong>in</strong>g method of theIDB only became available <strong>in</strong> 1998. 386 The most important task of the IDB was the gather<strong>in</strong>g of<strong>in</strong>formation on foreign countries that was of pot<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terest to the governm<strong>en</strong>t.The IDB was disban<strong>de</strong>d <strong>in</strong> 1994 after an oft<strong>en</strong> turbul<strong>en</strong>t exist<strong>en</strong>ce. In this period, the servicesuffered from a number of recurr<strong>in</strong>g problems for which no solutions were found. For <strong>in</strong>stance, it proveddifficult to f<strong>in</strong>d a balance betwe<strong>en</strong> gather<strong>in</strong>g and process<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. The distribution of ‘raw’<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce, without analysis, h<strong>in</strong><strong>de</strong>red the acceptance with<strong>in</strong> the governm<strong>en</strong>t <strong>de</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>ts of the<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce gathered. The m<strong>in</strong>istries were at a complete loss to know how to <strong>de</strong>al with unprocessed datafrom ag<strong>en</strong>ts and <strong>in</strong>formants. Wh<strong>en</strong> the messages were processed, it oft<strong>en</strong> led to bureaucratic argum<strong>en</strong>tsand compet<strong>en</strong>ce disputes, especially betwe<strong>en</strong> the IDB and the M<strong>in</strong>istry of Foreign Affairs, which saw this<strong>in</strong>formation as a threat to its own diplomatic report<strong>in</strong>g.The IDB was poorly <strong>in</strong>formed of the needs of its users. Ev<strong>en</strong> wh<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong> 1982, after many years aNational <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Requirem<strong>en</strong>ts Plan (Nationaal Inlicht<strong>in</strong>g<strong>en</strong> Behoeft<strong>en</strong> Plan) was f<strong>in</strong>ally formulated, thedocum<strong>en</strong>t was so compreh<strong>en</strong>sive and <strong>de</strong>mand<strong>in</strong>g that ev<strong>en</strong> an <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce service of a major power wouldhave had trouble satisfy<strong>in</strong>g the wishes it expressed, let alone the IDB, which had always be<strong>en</strong> kept small.The budget that was available for the service, approximately 4.8 million Dutch guil<strong>de</strong>rs, <strong>in</strong><strong>de</strong>edonly permitted a limited ambition. For example, there were <strong>in</strong>suffici<strong>en</strong>t resources for establish<strong>in</strong>g pseudocompaniesor to ‘build up’ ag<strong>en</strong>ts over many successive years, so that they could operate at ever higherlevels. It was repeatedly <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d not to <strong>in</strong>corporate the IDB with<strong>in</strong> the M<strong>in</strong>istry of Foreign Affairs, becausethe lea<strong>de</strong>rs of this <strong>de</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t did not want to burn their f<strong>in</strong>gers on any <strong>in</strong>cid<strong>en</strong>ts that might have aris<strong>en</strong>from secret operations. Therefore, for reasons of pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, the service was ‘susp<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>d’ with<strong>in</strong> the primem<strong>in</strong>ister’s <strong>de</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t, the M<strong>in</strong>istry of G<strong>en</strong>eral Affairs.Betwe<strong>en</strong> 1970 and 1972, by way of experim<strong>en</strong>t, the service was brought un<strong>de</strong>r the M<strong>in</strong>istry of<strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce, but this was not a success. Although one may perhaps expect otherwise of an elite <strong>de</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>tsuch as that of the prime m<strong>in</strong>ister, the political and civil service cont<strong>rol</strong> of the IDB by s<strong>en</strong>ior M<strong>in</strong>istry ofG<strong>en</strong>eral Affairs officials left much to be <strong>de</strong>sired. The IDB did not know what the governm<strong>en</strong>t actuallyexpected from it. Direct exchanges of views betwe<strong>en</strong> the prime m<strong>in</strong>ister, who had political responsibilityfor the service, and IDB lead<strong>in</strong>g officials were at best ‘only sporadic’.387Of course, it would be do<strong>in</strong>g the IDB an <strong>in</strong>justice to refer only to its failures. It must be stated thatto the ext<strong>en</strong>t that the service succee<strong>de</strong>d, this was largely <strong>de</strong>term<strong>in</strong>ed by external factors, such as the Sig<strong>in</strong>t(<strong>in</strong>tercepted message traffic) that was supplied by the MIS. The IDB analysts were able to use this<strong>in</strong>formation to produce reports that were rated relatively highly by their users. For <strong>in</strong>stance, <strong>in</strong> 1973 theIDB was able to give the governm<strong>en</strong>t a timely warn<strong>in</strong>g of the planned oil embargo by the Arab world. TheIDB’s performance was moreover favourably <strong>in</strong>flu<strong>en</strong>ced by the reports of a limited number of fri<strong>en</strong>dlyforeign services. Although differ<strong>en</strong>t i<strong>de</strong>as existed with<strong>in</strong> the service about the material supplied and theassessm<strong>en</strong>ts of reports by the American CIA, the British SIS and the German BND (Bun<strong>de</strong>snachricht<strong>en</strong>di<strong>en</strong>st)were sometimes far from favourable, the <strong>in</strong>formation - obta<strong>in</strong>ed on the basis of exchange and liaison -certa<strong>in</strong>ly had a positive effect on the service’s performance.A study of the history of the IDB betwe<strong>en</strong> 1946 and 1994 shows that there were major <strong>in</strong>ternalproblems with<strong>in</strong> the service from the outset. There was an elem<strong>en</strong>t of a sort of ‘crisis cycle’, with a386 <strong>De</strong> Graaff and <strong>Wiebes</strong>, Villa Maarheeze, passim.387 Engel<strong>en</strong>, Inlicht<strong>in</strong>g<strong>en</strong>di<strong>en</strong>st Buit<strong>en</strong>land, p. 51.

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