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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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297available. 1606 The head of the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce section <strong>in</strong> Zagreb, the Swedish Colonel Jan-Inge Sv<strong>en</strong>sson,and his assistant Lieut<strong>en</strong>ant Colonel Ingmar Ljunggr<strong>en</strong> also occasionally received photos fromPredators after mid-July. Other <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from Predators was also phoned through to them afteranalysis. They had never se<strong>en</strong> photos tak<strong>en</strong> by German UAVs. The analyses of photos and other<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from satellites or the U-2 Dragon Lady were always passed on to them by word of mouth.As Swed<strong>en</strong> was not a NATO member, neither Swe<strong>de</strong> ever actually saw the Im<strong>in</strong>t. 1607So, many UNPROFOR officials <strong>in</strong> Zagreb had access to Im<strong>in</strong>t: sometimes <strong>in</strong> the form ofwritt<strong>en</strong> reports. One member of the UNPROFOR staff ev<strong>en</strong> recalled that the first aerial photos ofsuspected mass graves and relat<strong>in</strong>g excavations were available a few days after the fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. 1608However, requests from SNE for Im<strong>in</strong>t were to no avail. On 21, 22, 24, 26 and 29 April, G<strong>en</strong>eralHaukland repeatedly and urg<strong>en</strong>tly requested satellite or other aerial photos of areas where the BosnianSerbs were operational. NATO never ev<strong>en</strong> acknowledged his requests and Haukland never received thephotos. 1609 Wh<strong>en</strong> the Dutch M<strong>in</strong>ister Jan Pronk confronted G<strong>en</strong>eral Nicolai about this dur<strong>in</strong>g a visit toBosnia <strong>in</strong> July 1995, he was told that troops from a non-NATO state (Pakistan) were mann<strong>in</strong>g thereception station for the requested photos. 1610 If that was the case, th<strong>en</strong> UNPROFOR should have<strong>in</strong>terv<strong>en</strong>ed. After all, a station is useless if the personnel stationed there are not authorized to receiveIm<strong>in</strong>t. It might have be<strong>en</strong> better at the time to <strong>de</strong>putize a US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce officer with secureconnections to Haukland’s staff <strong>in</strong> Tuzla. This example is a further <strong>in</strong>dication that neitherUNPROFOR nor NATO accor<strong>de</strong>d high priority to Eastern Bosnia.Initially, the Americans shared their photos with The Hague (probably from U-2s), but that wasdur<strong>in</strong>g the Dutch presid<strong>en</strong>cy of the European Union. Later on, they only shared them for the purposesof plann<strong>in</strong>g a possible jo<strong>in</strong>t emerg<strong>en</strong>cy helicopter evacuation of Dutchbat from Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. But this wasmonths before the attack.1611Canada was probably the only ally with whom the Americans share<strong>de</strong>veryth<strong>in</strong>g. The <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce analysts at the Canadian M<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce had perman<strong>en</strong>t access toimagery and other <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce (raw as well as f<strong>in</strong>ished). The Canadian <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community <strong>in</strong>Sarajevo – and also <strong>in</strong> Zagreb – had access to Im<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> their own <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce cells. This was mostlycurr<strong>en</strong>t near-real-time Im<strong>in</strong>t.There was also Sat<strong>in</strong>t available on Eastern Bosnia which occasionally showed VRS troopmovem<strong>en</strong>ts. The Canadian <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce cell <strong>in</strong> Bosnia itself had near-real-time Im<strong>in</strong>t which was aboutfive days old. Sometimes it had be<strong>en</strong> processed, but the Canadian officers could always get archivalIm<strong>in</strong>t. The Canadian <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce cell <strong>in</strong> Bosnia never received Im<strong>in</strong>t on Croatia from the Americans.The British community also had some i<strong>de</strong>a of the ev<strong>en</strong>ts around Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica through Im<strong>in</strong>t.Accord<strong>in</strong>g to an official of the UK <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community, most of the <strong>in</strong>formation on the troopbuild-up came from Im<strong>in</strong>t. It never emerged whether this came from satellites or U-2s. Anyway, Im<strong>in</strong>t<strong>de</strong>livered pictures of VRS troop conc<strong>en</strong>trations, though it did not show that the VRS was prepar<strong>in</strong>g tolaunch an attack. Ev<strong>en</strong>tually, this was also conclu<strong>de</strong>d by the UK <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Staff. 1613 TheBritish services also categorically <strong>in</strong>sisted that Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica was not an important area, not ev<strong>en</strong> for theDIS, which had focused all its att<strong>en</strong>tion on Goraz<strong>de</strong> and Sarajevo. 161416121606 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>formation (80).1607 Interview Jan-Inge Sv<strong>en</strong>sson and Ingmar Ljunggr<strong>en</strong>, 04/11/99.1608 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>formation (58).1609 Interview V. Haukland, 22/09/00.1610 NIOD, Letter from J. Pronk to NIOD, 29/05/01; NMFA, DMP to R, draft report of the trip by J. Pronk to Tuzla andSarajevo, NH-618/95, 31/07/95.1611 Interviews with M.J.C. Felix, 06/04/00 and A.M. <strong>van</strong> <strong>de</strong>r Togt, 04/05/00.1612 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terviews (9), (47), (62) and (90).1613 The question of ‘Foreknowledge’ will be addressed <strong>in</strong> <strong>de</strong>tail <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g chapter.1614 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (8).

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