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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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196Ad<strong>van</strong>tages of Sig<strong>in</strong>tDue to the specific nature of the <strong>in</strong>formation obta<strong>in</strong>ed, Sig<strong>in</strong>t has a number of special qualities mak<strong>in</strong>git a highly effective method for gather<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. In<strong>de</strong>ed, Sig<strong>in</strong>t proved to be one, if not the, mostimportant source of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce dur<strong>in</strong>g and after the Cold War. In October 1998 John Millis, the lateStaff Director of the House Perman<strong>en</strong>t Select Committee on <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong>, said that Sig<strong>in</strong>t ‘has be<strong>en</strong> andcont<strong>in</strong>ues to be the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce of choice of the policymaker and the military comman<strong>de</strong>r’. He ad<strong>de</strong>d:‘the fact of the matter is, it’s there quickly wh<strong>en</strong> nee<strong>de</strong>d. It’s always there. Or it has always be<strong>en</strong>there.’ 1040 N<strong>in</strong>e ad<strong>van</strong>tages are listed below. One major ad<strong>van</strong>tage of this form of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce is that it isa passive method, g<strong>en</strong>erally conducted without the target know<strong>in</strong>g about it. Moreover, Sig<strong>in</strong>t can beused aga<strong>in</strong>st a target that is sometimes hundreds or ev<strong>en</strong> thousands of kilometres away. It is oft<strong>en</strong> notnecessary to position the <strong>in</strong>tercept<strong>in</strong>g equipm<strong>en</strong>t close to the target. Sig<strong>in</strong>t thus has few political orphysical risks; an exception is formed by the gather<strong>in</strong>g of this <strong>in</strong>formation by aircraft fly<strong>in</strong>g along thecoasts of various states.Secondly, Sig<strong>in</strong>t is objective; it has a high reliability and that can sometimes ev<strong>en</strong> result <strong>in</strong> aperfect <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce product. Sig<strong>in</strong>t will, <strong>in</strong> contrast to <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce ga<strong>in</strong>ed from Hum<strong>in</strong>t, always be freeof political prejudice and will be not be <strong>in</strong>flu<strong>en</strong>ced by the political perception of the ag<strong>en</strong>t’s sources.Hum<strong>in</strong>t can sometimes be politically coloured because it is supplied by traitors, or for reasons ofblackmail, corruption, or political or f<strong>in</strong>ancial ga<strong>in</strong>. But Sig<strong>in</strong>t provi<strong>de</strong>s, <strong>in</strong> a raw state, exactly what hasbe<strong>en</strong> recor<strong>de</strong>d <strong>in</strong> an unembellished, un<strong>in</strong>flu<strong>en</strong>ced and undistorted form. Sig<strong>in</strong>t has thus acquired animportant status with the recipi<strong>en</strong>ts of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. As a former CIA ag<strong>en</strong>t put it: ‘You know the orig<strong>in</strong>and you know that this is g<strong>en</strong>u<strong>in</strong>e. It’s not like a clan<strong>de</strong>st<strong>in</strong>e (Human <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong>) report where youdon’t know if this is a good ag<strong>en</strong>t or a weak ag<strong>en</strong>t or a bad ag<strong>en</strong>t or a double ag<strong>en</strong>t.’ Another CIAofficer immediately po<strong>in</strong>ted out the down-si<strong>de</strong> too: ‘Electronic <strong>in</strong>tercepts are great, but you don’t know1041if you’ve got two idiots talk<strong>in</strong>g on the phone.’A third ad<strong>van</strong>tage is that some – certa<strong>in</strong>ly not all – <strong>in</strong>tercepts can be an autonomous <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ceproduct, without the <strong>in</strong>formation need<strong>in</strong>g to be verified through other sources. The former director ofthe CIA, Stansfield Turner, wrote <strong>in</strong> 1991:‘Electronic <strong>in</strong>tercepts may be ev<strong>en</strong> more useful [than ag<strong>en</strong>ts] <strong>in</strong> discern<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>t<strong>en</strong>tions. For <strong>in</strong>stance, if a foreign official writes about plans <strong>in</strong> a message andthe United States <strong>in</strong>tercepts it, or if he discusses it and we record it with alist<strong>en</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>de</strong>vice, those verbatim <strong>in</strong>tercepts are likely to be more reliable thansecond-hand reports from an ag<strong>en</strong>t’. 1042An <strong>in</strong>tercept can thus supply unique <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. This is why every morn<strong>in</strong>g the American presid<strong>en</strong>t ispres<strong>en</strong>ted with not only a Top Secret <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Summary but also a ‘Black Book’ with the mostimportant <strong>in</strong>tercepts of the past 24 hours. In The Hague the highest governm<strong>en</strong>t policymakers areprovi<strong>de</strong>d with a similar publication focuss<strong>in</strong>g on the Netherlands, known as the Gro<strong>en</strong>e Editie (Gre<strong>en</strong>Edition). 1043Fourthly, Sig<strong>in</strong>t is usually the form of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce most rapidly available to the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>cerecipi<strong>en</strong>t. The NSA <strong>in</strong> particular can, thanks to its global eavesdropp<strong>in</strong>g network, supply Sig<strong>in</strong>t fasterthan any other form of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. Dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1962 Cuba Crisis, for <strong>in</strong>stance, on average more than aweek was nee<strong>de</strong>d before a Hum<strong>in</strong>t report reached the CIA. Intercepts were directly available to the1040 ‘Address at the CIRA Luncheon, 5 October 1998; John Millis’ Speech’, <strong>in</strong>: CIRA Newsletter, Vol. XXIII (1998/1999), 4,p. 4.1041 Matthew Aid & Cees <strong>Wiebes</strong>, ‘Introduction on the importance of SIGINT <strong>in</strong> the Cold War’, <strong>in</strong>: Aid & <strong>Wiebes</strong> (eds.),Secrets, p. 6. See also: Bob Drog<strong>in</strong>, ‘At CIA School, Data Outweigh <strong>De</strong>rr<strong>in</strong>g-do’, Los Angeles Times, 27/08/00.1042 Stansfield Turner, ‘<strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> for a New World Or<strong>de</strong>r’, Foreign Affairs, Fall 1991, p. 158.1043 <strong>De</strong> Graaff & <strong>Wiebes</strong>, Villa Maarheeze, pp. 280-282. In the UK this is known as the Blue Book. See: Urban, UK EyesAlpha, p. 8.

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