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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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300therefore that the late availability of the photos was not due to US reluctance to release them, as wassuggested by a m<strong>in</strong>ister of the Dutch Cab<strong>in</strong>et. 1631It emerged ev<strong>en</strong>tually that a satellite and U-2 had photographed hundreds of Muslim m<strong>en</strong> on 13July. CIA analysts had paid no att<strong>en</strong>tion to this because they were busy with other priorities. Thesephotos from the U-2 were shown to Presid<strong>en</strong>t Cl<strong>in</strong>ton and his advisors for the first time on 4August. 1632 This was probably be the DIA copy of the RAF Alconbury U2 mission. This cha<strong>in</strong> ofev<strong>en</strong>ts was largely confirmed <strong>in</strong> a talk with a US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce officer. Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica and the other eastern<strong>en</strong>claves had absolutely no priority <strong>in</strong> the summer of <strong>1995.</strong> So, Im<strong>in</strong>t from this region was not studiedor analysed. 16335. What photos were tak<strong>en</strong> and on which dates?The question still rema<strong>in</strong>s as to what k<strong>in</strong>d of photos were actually tak<strong>en</strong>, wh<strong>en</strong> these were tak<strong>en</strong> andwhat they provi<strong>de</strong>d <strong>in</strong> the way of imagery. The search <strong>in</strong> the Im<strong>in</strong>t archives after the tip-off from theHum<strong>in</strong>t source ev<strong>en</strong>tually produced a lot of material. As has already be<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>scribed, satellites, U-2s andUAVs were operational above Bosnia. Us<strong>in</strong>g background <strong>in</strong>terviews, docum<strong>en</strong>ts and aerial photos it ispossible to reconstruct the various missions above Bosnia and specifically above Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. Theshoot<strong>in</strong>g down of the F-16 flown by O’Grady on 2 June was the ma<strong>in</strong> reason for br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g extraPredators to the region. On 16 June, the US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community approved the target plan for theUAVs. The most important targets were Bihac and the Croatian areas; the Livno valley had priority.However, UNPROFOR’s priorities lay with Sarajevo. Janvier was briefed on the possibilities of UAVsand said that he wanted to receive Im<strong>in</strong>t. On 19 June, the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce staff <strong>in</strong> Zagreb asked the US<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community for Predator photos of Bosnia. 1634The first report based on UAV images dates from 26 June and relates to the Livno valley. Oneimportant piece of <strong>in</strong>formation was that all the retreat routes from the Kraj<strong>in</strong>a could be cut off by theBosnian Croats. The American UAVs also took photos above Croatia, but these were s<strong>en</strong>t straight tothe Croats and not to the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce section <strong>in</strong> Zagreb: at that time, the CIA was runn<strong>in</strong>g thePredators. The Predator operations were based out of Croatia, and the photos for Croatia were part ofthe quid-pro-quo for that bas<strong>in</strong>g agreem<strong>en</strong>t. Thanks to a UAV flight, it was reported on 28 June thatthe Bosnian Croats could attack with<strong>in</strong> 24 hours.On 26 June, a U-2 flew over the whole of Bosnia, which was 65 per c<strong>en</strong>t cloud covered. The U-2 Im<strong>in</strong>t reports were received and dissem<strong>in</strong>ated at HQ Zagreb on 28 June, but presumably paid noatt<strong>en</strong>tion to the eastern <strong>en</strong>claves. Giv<strong>en</strong> the earlier UAV reports, the focus of <strong>in</strong>terest was probablyCroatia. So, the priorities of the Im<strong>in</strong>t analysts lay elsewhere. On 26 June a Predator <strong>in</strong><strong>de</strong>ed conducteda test flight over Liki Petrovo Selo. 1635 On 27 June, the MIS/Air Force also knew that the Americanshad <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d to s<strong>en</strong>d some Predators to the Balkans for a period of 60 days. An analysis conclu<strong>de</strong>d thatthis may have stemmed from the agreed support for the Rapid Reaction Force. 1636 All aircraft <strong>in</strong>Operation D<strong>en</strong>y Flight were warned to watch out for UAVs. 1637 Th<strong>in</strong>gs settled down for a while afterthis.On 2 July BHC <strong>in</strong> Sarajevo was request<strong>in</strong>g imagery emphasis on the Mt. D<strong>in</strong>ara area, whereVRS artillery and mortar fire was threat<strong>en</strong><strong>in</strong>g Tuzla area. A flight with an UAV was planned but theUAV was groun<strong>de</strong>d on 4/5 July for unknown reasons but probably because of ma<strong>in</strong>t<strong>en</strong>ance. On 5 July,1631 Objectivized summary of the m<strong>in</strong>utes of the M<strong>in</strong>isterial Council meet<strong>in</strong>g of 25/08/95, prepared for the purposes of thepres<strong>en</strong>t NIOD study.1632 Interview with Peter Galbraith, 23/07/99 and Tune Br<strong>in</strong>ga, 13/07/00.1633 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (13).1634 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (54).1635 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>formation (80).1636 MoD, SMG, 1002. Summary of Intsums MID/KL, 27/06/95.1637 MoD, DOKP.u. STAOOPER, Dossier 312, DocId, 6241, COMFIVEATAF to AIG 5781, 27/06/95.

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