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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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78exchange, th<strong>en</strong> g<strong>en</strong>erally speak<strong>in</strong>g it cannot expect to be provi<strong>de</strong>d with much <strong>in</strong> return by a fri<strong>en</strong>dlyservice.Neither was the <strong>in</strong>ternational exchange <strong>en</strong>couraged by the turnaround with<strong>in</strong> the Americanservices, such as the DIA and CIA. Especially after Woolsey’s <strong>de</strong>parture as CIA director, <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>cestarted to serve as support to the policy of the Cl<strong>in</strong>ton adm<strong>in</strong>istration, which was largely pro-Bosnian.This meant that parts of the American <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community were brought <strong>in</strong>to conflict with fri<strong>en</strong>dlyWestern services. The British military <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce service <strong>in</strong> particular suffered: the British did not sharethe American views, and the Americans slowly shut down the flow of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. In particular theflow to G<strong>en</strong>eral Rose <strong>in</strong> Sarajevo seems to have be<strong>en</strong> cut off. This appar<strong>en</strong>tly did happ<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong> Zagreb.This would only be restored aga<strong>in</strong> after some consi<strong>de</strong>rable time.It seemed as if only the Bun<strong>de</strong>snachricht<strong>en</strong>di<strong>en</strong>st could count on a cont<strong>in</strong>uation of the cordialcollaboration, but this was because officials there shared a very pro-Croat and pro-Bosnian attitu<strong>de</strong> withmany people at the CIA. The <strong>in</strong>terests of the American and German <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services ran <strong>in</strong> parallel<strong>in</strong> this respect, which was obviously to the great b<strong>en</strong>efit of the mutual collaboration and exchange of<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. 370 This chapter has ma<strong>de</strong> clear that the ext<strong>en</strong>t to which services recognize a perceivedshared risk (<strong>in</strong> this case Serbia), appar<strong>en</strong>tly <strong>in</strong>flu<strong>en</strong>ces <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce liaison.Differ<strong>en</strong>t political views on the orig<strong>in</strong> of and solution to the conflict had an impact on the<strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce liaison about the war <strong>in</strong> Bosnia betwe<strong>en</strong> the other Western services. Thismeant an additional impetus for European and Canadian <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services to become activethemselves <strong>in</strong> the region. Although Ottawa was able to rely heavily on the American services, thespecific acquisition of reliable <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce with<strong>in</strong> the framework of force protection of their own unitsrema<strong>in</strong>ed c<strong>en</strong>tral to Canadian th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g. After all, a reliable <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce contribution was not to beexpected from the UN.371 This led to the un<strong>de</strong>sirable situation that various services sought special<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce that was primarily of pot<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terest to their own national units <strong>in</strong> Bosnia. For example,the British <strong>in</strong> 1995 conc<strong>en</strong>trated heavily on Goraz<strong>de</strong>, the Canadians on Sarajevo and Visoko and theScand<strong>in</strong>avians on Tuzla, with the serious consequ<strong>en</strong>ce that the eastern <strong>en</strong>claves were left to their own<strong>de</strong>vices concern<strong>in</strong>g the gather<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. In any case the areas did not <strong>en</strong>joy the highest priority,as will be <strong>de</strong>monstrated later <strong>in</strong> this study. 372In various European capitals various special task forces were set up <strong>in</strong> great haste to regulateand coord<strong>in</strong>ate the <strong>in</strong>take of the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce gathered, and to provi<strong>de</strong> the policymakers with reliable<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. However, the gather<strong>in</strong>g did not proceed smoothly and only after solv<strong>in</strong>g various teeth<strong>in</strong>gtroubles did the services get reasonably ‘up-to-speed’. There were technical problems, rang<strong>in</strong>g from alack of good maps to not hav<strong>in</strong>g <strong>en</strong>ough Serbo-Croat <strong>in</strong>terpreters and translators. The lack oftranslators was a particularly great problem on both si<strong>de</strong>s of the Atlantic, which consi<strong>de</strong>rably limitedthe opportunities for an optimum use of Os<strong>in</strong>t and Sig<strong>in</strong>t at the start of the war. It was also impossibleto arrange the recruitm<strong>en</strong>t of reliable sources and ag<strong>en</strong>ts and to build up an ext<strong>en</strong>sive and reliableHum<strong>in</strong>t network with<strong>in</strong> 24 hours. It took <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services months if not years to obta<strong>in</strong> goodHum<strong>in</strong>t sources. Ultimately, most European services appear to have succee<strong>de</strong>d reasonably well <strong>in</strong>recruit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formants at the highest level of the political and military lea<strong>de</strong>rship <strong>in</strong> Bosnia and Croatia.They appear to have be<strong>en</strong> less successful where the Bosnian Serbs and the Serbs were concerned,although it has be<strong>en</strong> suggested <strong>in</strong> retrospect that American and British military and civil <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ceservices ev<strong>en</strong>tually recruited <strong>in</strong>formants and sources close to Mladic and Karadzic. 373It is also rele<strong>van</strong>t that the overall Western <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce climate <strong>in</strong> the years after the fall of theBerl<strong>in</strong> Wall had chilled somewhat, because Western services <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly started to spy on each other.The conflict <strong>in</strong> Bosnia aggravated the animosity betwe<strong>en</strong> Europe and the United States ev<strong>en</strong> further. 374370 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (12).371 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (9).372 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (8).373 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (11).374 Loch K. Johnson, ‘spies’, Foreign Policy (September 2000), p. 35.

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