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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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245Moreover, the NSA is reported to have had a poor relationship with the P<strong>en</strong>tagon, which oft<strong>en</strong>compla<strong>in</strong>ed about the unwill<strong>in</strong>gness of the NSA to share Sig<strong>in</strong>t for fear of compromis<strong>in</strong>g the source. 1292The limited usefulness of Sig<strong>in</strong>t sometimes prev<strong>en</strong>ted the tak<strong>in</strong>g of practical action. This wasthe case <strong>in</strong> Bosnia too. Ev<strong>en</strong> the supply of British Com<strong>in</strong>t to UK comman<strong>de</strong>rs was a problematic affair.Cooke, responsible for Bosnia at the DIS, was clear about this: ‘the usual rules on the dissem<strong>in</strong>ation ofs<strong>en</strong>sitive reports further limited what was giv<strong>en</strong> to troops serv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>-theatre.’ But British comman<strong>de</strong>rs<strong>in</strong> UNPROFOR felt this lack of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce and oft<strong>en</strong> had to fall back on op<strong>en</strong> sources <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce toget a good <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce ‘picture’. 1293In the case of Bosnia the disad<strong>van</strong>tages of Sig<strong>in</strong>t probably outweighed the ad<strong>van</strong>tages. Thedisad<strong>van</strong>tages were: an avalanche of <strong>in</strong>tercepted data; the lack of suffici<strong>en</strong>t translators and analysiscapability; and the limited possibilities of <strong>in</strong>terception due to cryptography, secure l<strong>in</strong>ks via land l<strong>in</strong>es,the nature of the terra<strong>in</strong> and atmospheric conditions. In particular the <strong>in</strong>terception of the mostcommon form of communications traffic <strong>in</strong> Bosnia, the walkie-talkie, pres<strong>en</strong>ted serious problems. InSeptember 1995 an American commission established that some of the ‘limit<strong>in</strong>g factors id<strong>en</strong>tified <strong>in</strong>tactical Sig<strong>in</strong>t were outsi<strong>de</strong> the range of technical fixes – the fact that the former Yugoslav forcespractice very good Communications security/Operational security and the shortage of Serbo-Croatianl<strong>in</strong>guists’. It also established that the result of tactical Sig<strong>in</strong>t (especially HF and VHF) had be<strong>en</strong><strong>in</strong>a<strong>de</strong>quate. 1294Another reason for not pass<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce could have be<strong>en</strong> the aftermath of the op<strong>en</strong>British support for Bush’s presid<strong>en</strong>tial campaign and the dom<strong>in</strong>ant op<strong>in</strong>ion <strong>in</strong> Europe about how theBalkans crisis could best be solved. The more or less neutral attitu<strong>de</strong> tak<strong>en</strong> by London and Paristowards the Balkans conflict was not properly appreciated. 1295 The US-UK animosity led to theAmericans gradually reduc<strong>in</strong>g the flow of <strong>in</strong>formation from their si<strong>de</strong>. The tap was not totally shut off,for that would have be<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong> conflict with mutual agreem<strong>en</strong>ts. But the flow slowly became less and ofpoorer quality, and the process<strong>in</strong>g time was longer. Canadian <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce officials, who still receivedthis US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce, confirmed that the Americans imposed these limitations. They <strong>de</strong>clared that theAmericans had also reduced the flow of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce <strong>in</strong> the past, for <strong>in</strong>stance dur<strong>in</strong>g the Gulf War. 1296 ACanadian official confirmed that 85 perc<strong>en</strong>t of all <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from the United States ‘was stampedCan-US Only’, chiefly to keep the British out of the circuit. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to this official London reactedto this by reduc<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce flow to the other si<strong>de</strong> of the Atlantic too. 1297<strong>De</strong>spite all the resources employed by the United States, the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom, Germany,France, Austria and other countries, and <strong>de</strong>spite all the successes appar<strong>en</strong>tly achieved, it mustprovisionally be conclu<strong>de</strong>d that little Sig<strong>in</strong>t lan<strong>de</strong>d on the <strong>de</strong>sks of policymakers and of UNPROFORcomman<strong>de</strong>rs. Members of the British <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community claim that if American high-level<strong>in</strong>tercepts did exist, they were <strong>de</strong>f<strong>in</strong>itely not passed on to UNPROFOR. Officers of UNPROFOR wer<strong>en</strong>oticeably bitter about this cynical behaviour by the US ally. 1298 A former UNPROFOR <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ceofficer said <strong>in</strong> this respect that his organization ‘lost ownership of the picture of the battlefield to thepo<strong>in</strong>t where it was irrecoverable’. 1299This non-shar<strong>in</strong>g by the Americans <strong>in</strong>volved both strategic and tactical Sig<strong>in</strong>t. With respect tothe latter an US military expert said: ‘NATO-releasable Sig<strong>in</strong>t report<strong>in</strong>g consist<strong>en</strong>tly was a day late and adollar short. It oft<strong>en</strong> comprised only marg<strong>in</strong>ally useful <strong>in</strong>formation as much as three to four days old.’1292 Matthew M. Aid, ‘The Time of Troubles: The US NSA <strong>in</strong> the Tw<strong>en</strong>ty-First C<strong>en</strong>tury’, <strong>in</strong>: <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> and National Security,Vol. 15 (2000) 3 pp. 17-20.1293 Urban, UK Eyes, p. 217.1294 Zachary Lum, ‘Balkan Eyes: Airborne Recon over Bosnia, <strong>in</strong>: IED On-L<strong>in</strong>e, November <strong>1995.</strong> For this see: http://jedprod.weblabs.com/jed/hml/new/now95/feature.html.1295 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (47).1296 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terviews (62) and (90).1297 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (9).1298 Ian Bruce, ‘US let safe hav<strong>en</strong> fall. US knew of Serb build-up’, The Herald, 24/10/95.1299 Smith, New Cloak, p. 210.

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