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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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220Smith’s staff also received <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from the UK <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Staff (DIS). TheBosnia Cell <strong>in</strong> this service was also very nationally ori<strong>en</strong>ted, and chiefly had access to <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>cegathered by British and US services. This unit supplied mostly strategic <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce to the M<strong>in</strong>istry of<strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce. The Bosnia Cell supplied almost no tactical <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. Much material from the DIS did goto G<strong>en</strong>eral Smith, however, via a specially created secure communications system of the British Army.The contact person for this service on G<strong>en</strong>eral Smith’s staff was his military assistant, Lieut<strong>en</strong>antColonel Baxter. 1170 In addition to his own <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce cell, Smith also received <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from theBritish ‘Black Box’ <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce cell <strong>in</strong> Sarajevo, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a foreign <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce officer. 1171International negotiators, such as Lord Ow<strong>en</strong> and Carl Bildt, also sometimes received Com<strong>in</strong>tto support their work. Asked whether he received <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce, Bildt answered that formally he did not,but <strong>in</strong>formally he did. He did not wish to say much about this, but did admit that he also receivedCom<strong>in</strong>t wh<strong>en</strong> he asked for it. He had noticed that the raw data <strong>in</strong> the reports from the variousorganizations was oft<strong>en</strong> the same as the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce result<strong>in</strong>g from it. This implied that he received his<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce from his own Swedish <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Service and from the Americans. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Bildt,however, this <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce did not constitute an important factor: moreover, it related to military affairsand this was of no use to him wh<strong>en</strong> he had to <strong>de</strong>al with <strong>in</strong>ternational organizations. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to him,the Americans were usually busy count<strong>in</strong>g tanks, and that was not rele<strong>van</strong>t for a politician. Bildt citedBBC radio as a particularly important source of <strong>in</strong>formation for him. The <strong>in</strong>formation he received fromtheir broadcasts was, <strong>in</strong> his op<strong>in</strong>ion, faster and oft<strong>en</strong> more rele<strong>van</strong>t that the analysed and processedSig<strong>in</strong>t reports. 1172In short, the basic Sig<strong>in</strong>t situation was far from i<strong>de</strong>al. Nevertheless, it was <strong>in</strong> this situation thatjo<strong>in</strong>t cooperation and mutual exchange on Bosnia nee<strong>de</strong>d to take place. It was a difficult affair, becausethe war <strong>in</strong> Bosnia led to divisions betwe<strong>en</strong> the European countries and also put pressure on therelationship betwe<strong>en</strong> the United States and the NATO member states. The political i<strong>de</strong>as about apossible solution to the armed conflict were disparate, and this was reflected <strong>in</strong> the way that Sig<strong>in</strong>t was(or was not) shared.5. The results of Signals <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> <strong>in</strong> BosniaIn view of the extreme secrecy surround<strong>in</strong>g Sig<strong>in</strong>t and the very limited distribution, <strong>in</strong> particular ofCom<strong>in</strong>t (oft<strong>en</strong> only on a need-to-know basis), it is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g that little is known about the results ofthe use of Sig<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the former Yugoslavia. Governm<strong>en</strong>ts have never released any <strong>in</strong>formation aboutpossible results achieved through Com<strong>in</strong>t. Moreover, such material has never be<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>classified on thebasis of the US Freedom of Information Act or any other similar act.Nonetheless, disclosures have occasionally be<strong>en</strong> ma<strong>de</strong> <strong>in</strong> rec<strong>en</strong>t years. These were mostly byjournalists and other authors, who have found out more about the successes and failures of Sig<strong>in</strong>tdur<strong>in</strong>g the war <strong>in</strong> the former Yugoslavia through <strong>in</strong>terviews and off-the-record media brief<strong>in</strong>gs withmembers of the western <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community. This section aims to sketch the achieved results,successes and failures, based on these publications and the author’s own research. Wh<strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>scrib<strong>in</strong>gtargets for Com<strong>in</strong>t and El<strong>in</strong>t, a dist<strong>in</strong>ction will be drawn betwe<strong>en</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g categories: diplomatictraffic and military communications traffic of the warr<strong>in</strong>g factions (military targets), such as the ‘old’Yugoslav Army (the VJ) <strong>in</strong> Serbia, the VRS <strong>in</strong> the Republika Srpska, and the ABiH <strong>in</strong> Bosnia, <strong>in</strong> thator<strong>de</strong>r. This is followed by an exam<strong>in</strong>ation of the El<strong>in</strong>t targets <strong>in</strong> and around Bosnia, and f<strong>in</strong>allyUNPROFOR as target. 11731170 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (8).1171 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (9). It was not possible to confirm this through other <strong>in</strong>terviews.1172 Interviews with Lord Ow<strong>en</strong>, 27/06/01 and Carl Bildt, 13/12/00.1173 The Croat Sig<strong>in</strong>t operations are not consi<strong>de</strong>red because Croatia had probably noth<strong>in</strong>g to do with the attack on theeastern <strong>en</strong>claves.

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