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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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277Chapter 7Imagery <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bosnia1. Introduction‘Communications without <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce is noise; <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce withoutcommunications is irrele<strong>van</strong>t’,G<strong>en</strong>eral Alfred M. Gray.The capture and fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica were soon followed by allegations that the American <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ceservices had aerial and overhead (satellite) images show<strong>in</strong>g VRS preparations for the attack on the<strong>en</strong>clave. Photographs of the arrest and later executions of the Muslim males were also believed to exist.This can be illustrated by cit<strong>in</strong>g some examples. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Westerman and Rijs, US spy planes andsatellites had photographed the fleet of buses which were brought <strong>in</strong> to transport the DisplacedPersons after the <strong>en</strong>clave fell: ‘It beggars belief that the American satellites did not also observe thebuild-up of tanks and artillery near Zel<strong>en</strong>i Jadar’. 1467 Magda <strong>van</strong> <strong>de</strong>r En<strong>de</strong>, a member of theNetherlands-Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica association, also claimed that satellite photos which ‘must have shown troopconc<strong>en</strong>trations’ were tak<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong> the weeks lead<strong>in</strong>g up to the attack. Van <strong>de</strong>r En<strong>de</strong> said that she did notreceive these photos from M<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>De</strong> Grave because the CIA refused to release them. 1468 Someaccusations w<strong>en</strong>t ev<strong>en</strong> further and, be<strong>in</strong>g of a somewhat cynical nature, were also less credible. Th<strong>en</strong>ewspaper La Croix claimed that the CIA had followed the executions ‘live’ on large scre<strong>en</strong>s <strong>in</strong> theirObservation Room. This allegedly took place <strong>in</strong> the pres<strong>en</strong>ce of one of Cl<strong>in</strong>ton’s ai<strong>de</strong>s, who reportedlydirectly <strong>in</strong>formed the White House and all the allies. 1469Not only were accusations levelled, questions were asked as well. Why did satellites and spyplanes such as the U-2 fail to spot the VRS troop movem<strong>en</strong>ts and re<strong>in</strong>forcem<strong>en</strong>ts around the eastern<strong>en</strong>claves? Why did the US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce community with all its sophisticated technology fail to ‘see’ the<strong>de</strong>portation of the Muslims at an early stage, thus <strong>en</strong>abl<strong>in</strong>g timely <strong>in</strong>terv<strong>en</strong>tion? And why was theimagery of the buses at Potocari, the roun<strong>de</strong>d-up prisoners and the later executions discovered solate? 1470 As <strong>in</strong> the previous chapter, the question that needs to be answered is whether real-time<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce was available and, if so, why Wash<strong>in</strong>gton did not <strong>in</strong>form the other NATO partners <strong>in</strong> time.Some Dutch parliam<strong>en</strong>tarians appeared confused and ignorant about this issue. For example, a writt<strong>en</strong>question was submitted <strong>in</strong> the Dutch House of Commons on why NATO satellites were not used.Appar<strong>en</strong>tly, the politician was evid<strong>en</strong>tly unaware that NATO does not have any such satellites at itsdisposal. 1471 These and other questions were asked after Ma<strong>de</strong>le<strong>in</strong>e Albright, the US Perman<strong>en</strong>tRepres<strong>en</strong>tative at the United Nations had, on 10 August 1995, shown the Security Council photographsof Bosnian Muslim prisoners and churned-up earth where their bodies had be<strong>en</strong> buried afterexecution. 14721467 Westerman & Rijs, Het Zwartste Sc<strong>en</strong>ario, pp. 149 – 150; ‘VS wist<strong>en</strong> al wek<strong>en</strong> tevor<strong>en</strong> <strong>van</strong> val Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (The US knewabout the fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica weeks before), <strong>De</strong> Gel<strong>de</strong>rlan<strong>de</strong>r, 13/10/95; Bert Ste<strong>in</strong>metz, ‘Voorhoeve door VS fout <strong>in</strong>gelicht’(Voorhoeve wrongly briefed by US), Het Parool, 15/05/96.1468 <strong>De</strong> Gro<strong>en</strong>e Amsterdammer, 10/03/99.1469 ‘AICG call to <strong>in</strong>dict G<strong>en</strong>eral Janvier’, Bosnia Report, No. 1, November-<strong>De</strong>cember 1997, p. 3.1470 This question was also asked dur<strong>in</strong>g a Netherlands M<strong>in</strong>isterial Council meet<strong>in</strong>g. See: Objectivized summary of them<strong>in</strong>utes of the M<strong>in</strong>isterial Council meet<strong>in</strong>g of 25/08/95, prepared for the purposes of the pres<strong>en</strong>t NIOD study.1471 MoD, DCBC, box 59, No. 1307, HMID to DS/HOPN, Parliam<strong>en</strong>tary Questions on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica, 16/11/95.1472 ‘US Reveals Photographs Of Appar<strong>en</strong>t Mass Grave’, International Herald Tribune, 10/08/95 and ‘Up to 2,700 MassacredBy Serbs, UN is Told’, International Herald Tribune, 11/08/95. Doubts were also expressed as to the exist<strong>en</strong>ce of mass graves

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