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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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282ZIRCON spy satellite. It was also <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong>d<strong>en</strong>t on them for Sig<strong>in</strong>t and other sorts of <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce. Londonpaid £ 500 million to get access to the Im<strong>in</strong>t of the second g<strong>en</strong>eration Magnum satellite, which waslaunched <strong>in</strong> <strong>1995.</strong> 1494 The UK did not, therefore, have its own satellite for overhead photo’s.Another satellite <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce player <strong>in</strong> Yugoslavia was the Soviet Union. In the 1970s and 1980sthe Soviet Union launched over thirty spy satellites a year. After the USSR collapsed, this number<strong>de</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ed sharply. In 1999 there was only one launch and <strong>in</strong> 2000 there were three. There were fourtypes of Russian satellites. The first was the Yantar-1KFT (cod<strong>en</strong>amed Kometa) which gatheredtopographical <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce for the M<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce. The second series was the Yantar-4K2 satellite(cod<strong>en</strong>amed Kobalt) with an <strong>en</strong>durance of betwe<strong>en</strong> 60 and 120 days. The Cobalt satellites had threesmall re-<strong>en</strong>try vehicles on board: two to br<strong>in</strong>g back films to Earth and one to br<strong>in</strong>g back the cameraand the last <strong>rol</strong>l of film. The Yantar-4KS1 (cod<strong>en</strong>amed Neman) satellites were capable of s<strong>en</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g digitalimages to ground stations <strong>in</strong> Russia directly or via communications satellites. They operated for over ayear. Dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1980s it looked as if Moscow would be keep<strong>in</strong>g at least one Neman and one Cobalt1495satellite perman<strong>en</strong>tly <strong>in</strong> space, but this was no longer possible after the country dis<strong>in</strong>tegrated.Experts claim that Moscow may have provi<strong>de</strong>d the VJ or the VRS with photos, especiallysatellite photos of the military positions of the ABiH and the Croatian forces. This is doubtful, giv<strong>en</strong>the limited Im<strong>in</strong>t capacity of the Russians and the mediocre resolution of their photos. It is also<strong>de</strong>batable whether such photos would have be<strong>en</strong> of any real use to the VRS <strong>in</strong> the area of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica,Zepa and Goraz<strong>de</strong>. The <strong>in</strong>formation position of the Bosnian Serbs on top of the mounta<strong>in</strong>s and hillsaround the <strong>en</strong>claves was so good that <strong>in</strong> reality they did not need satellite photos. In this respect Im<strong>in</strong>tdid not play a <strong>rol</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the VRS attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. 1496 Apart from the USA and Russia, the only othercountry with a reasonably good satellite <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce capacity is Ch<strong>in</strong>a. There are no <strong>in</strong>dications thatBeij<strong>in</strong>g played a <strong>rol</strong>e <strong>in</strong> Bosnia. <strong>De</strong>spite the close ties betwe<strong>en</strong> the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese and Serb <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services<strong>in</strong> Belgra<strong>de</strong>, no Im<strong>in</strong>t appears to have be<strong>en</strong> exchanged <strong>in</strong> <strong>1995.</strong> 1497Commercial satellites, such as Landsat, did not play an important <strong>rol</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the conflict either,because of their limited resolution. The Fr<strong>en</strong>ch SPOT (Système Pour l’Observation <strong>de</strong> la Terre), thoughmore suitable, also had a low resolution: it produced monochrome photos with a resolution of somet<strong>en</strong> metres. 1498 More could be expected of the Ikonos satellites, launched by Space Imag<strong>in</strong>g Eosat (SIE)<strong>in</strong> Arl<strong>in</strong>gton, Virg<strong>in</strong>ia. SIE also manages the Landsat satellite.Germany was not significantly <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> Sat<strong>in</strong>t, as the jo<strong>in</strong>t Franco-German Helios satellitewas not launched until August 1995, i.e. after the fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. It appears therefore that the onlycountry, which was really active <strong>in</strong> gather<strong>in</strong>g Im<strong>in</strong>t was the US. They had suffici<strong>en</strong>t capacity to takesatellite photos of the ground situation, because a US spy satellite crossed Bosnia twice a day.1499 Im<strong>in</strong>twas shared with the BND but accord<strong>in</strong>g to a s<strong>en</strong>ior German <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce official, it oft<strong>en</strong> arrived after aspecific German request after only 4 to 5 days. For example, Im<strong>in</strong>t of the Muslim prisoners <strong>in</strong> the townof Bratunac arrived after the m<strong>en</strong> already had be<strong>en</strong> removed. 1500American Im<strong>in</strong>t technologyThe American U-2s were ess<strong>en</strong>tial for reconnaissance above Bosnia. Build<strong>in</strong>g started on the U-2 <strong>in</strong>1953 and the first flight over the USSR took place <strong>in</strong> July 1956. The U-2 programme was the directresponsibility of the CIA. S<strong>in</strong>ce th<strong>en</strong>, the U-2 has prov<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong>disp<strong>en</strong>sable <strong>in</strong> diverse <strong>in</strong>ternational crises1494 Dorril, MI-6, p. 778.1495 Moscow did not ev<strong>en</strong> have a s<strong>in</strong>gle spy satellite <strong>in</strong> space betwe<strong>en</strong> 28 September 1996 and 15 May 1997. The most rec<strong>en</strong>tphoto-reconnaissance satellite is the Orlets-2 (cod<strong>en</strong>amed Y<strong>en</strong>issey) which can carry more than 20 capsules that can be s<strong>en</strong>tback to Earth. See: Phillip S. Clark, ‘Russia has no reconnaissance satellites <strong>in</strong> orbit’, Jane’s <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce Weekly, 08/05/01.1496 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terviews (6) and (91).1497 Jasper Becker, ‘spy boss welcomed by Serbian counterpart’, South Ch<strong>in</strong>a Morn<strong>in</strong>g Post, 23/06/95.1498 See: Jeffrey Richelson, ‘U.S. Satellite Imagery, 1960 - 1999’, 14/04/99, at: www.gwu.edu.1499 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (13).1500 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (98).

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