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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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355transport VRS troops. 2006 However, it was forgott<strong>en</strong> to m<strong>en</strong>tion that this town was outsi<strong>de</strong> the territoryof the Dr<strong>in</strong>a Corps and that the observed buses therefore had little to do with the attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica.Just like the ABiH, the VRS transported all its soldiers by bus. The CIA director John <strong>De</strong>utch, <strong>in</strong> aletter s<strong>en</strong>t to The New York Review of Books, d<strong>en</strong>ied that his service had had prior knowledge. This was aremarkable step, because <strong>in</strong> the past the CIA had seldom respon<strong>de</strong>d to a wi<strong>de</strong> range of accusations.There were also no <strong>in</strong>tercepts of conversations betwe<strong>en</strong> Perisic and Mladic. An <strong>in</strong>ternal State<strong>De</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t docum<strong>en</strong>t also d<strong>en</strong>ied that there had be<strong>en</strong> any prior knowledge. 2007 In addition the authorspoke to two U.S. <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce officials who <strong>in</strong><strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong>d<strong>en</strong>tly from each other checked US Sig<strong>in</strong>t archivesand not a trace could be found of the <strong>in</strong>tercepts. 2008 Apart from this, these important <strong>in</strong>terceptscerta<strong>in</strong>ly would have <strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>d up <strong>in</strong> the daily report<strong>in</strong>g of the purely US Jo<strong>in</strong>t Analysis C<strong>en</strong>ter (JAC) <strong>in</strong>Molesworth. The author was able, thanks to a foreign <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce ag<strong>en</strong>cy, to study these reports over aperiod of many months before, dur<strong>in</strong>g and after. However, these <strong>in</strong>tercepts as m<strong>en</strong>tioned by journalistsnever showed up <strong>in</strong> the daily report<strong>in</strong>g of JAC, Molesoworth, which sometimes had the highestclassifciation gra<strong>de</strong>. It was aga<strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>dication that one can have doubts about the exist<strong>en</strong>ce of these<strong>in</strong>tercepts.In a response the authors of the article <strong>in</strong> The New York Review of Books stood by their story. Ananonymous source confirmed the exist<strong>en</strong>ce of these raw <strong>in</strong>tercepts. There was a ‘week’s worth of such<strong>in</strong>tercepts about the com<strong>in</strong>g assault on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’.2009 As the VRS had imposed radio sil<strong>en</strong>ce andcommunicated over secure landl<strong>in</strong>es, this claim may be doubted. Newsday also wrote about the exist<strong>en</strong>ceof prior knowledge. G<strong>en</strong>eral Nicolai saw reports concern<strong>in</strong>g the Arkan Tigers. ‘They always showed upat places where someth<strong>in</strong>g was about to happ<strong>en</strong>’, accord<strong>in</strong>g to Nicolai. ‘That also was an <strong>in</strong>dication thatSrebr<strong>en</strong>ica was on their wish list’. 2010 But a report of the wan<strong>de</strong>r<strong>in</strong>g Arkan Tigers, weeks before theattack, is absolutely not the same as a hard <strong>in</strong>dication of an attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica.What was the response <strong>in</strong> the Netherlands to all these revelations? The <strong>in</strong>formation was sodisturb<strong>in</strong>g that Voorhoeve contacted his US colleague and asked him for clarification. Perry assuredVoorhoeve dur<strong>in</strong>g their meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Williamsburg that the P<strong>en</strong>tagon knew of noth<strong>in</strong>g. An <strong>in</strong>vestigationby the <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>se <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> Ag<strong>en</strong>cy (DIA) showed that a ‘review of the <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce prior to 10 July2011does not reveal any tangible evid<strong>en</strong>ce of an <strong>in</strong>t<strong>en</strong>t to completely take cont<strong>rol</strong> of the <strong>en</strong>clave’. Thequestion of whether the CIA or the NSA knew someth<strong>in</strong>g was not asked, and so was not answere<strong>de</strong>ither. In or<strong>de</strong>r to be quite sure, G<strong>en</strong>eral Van d<strong>en</strong> Breem<strong>en</strong> also <strong>in</strong>quired with the chairman of the USJo<strong>in</strong>t Chiefs of Staff (JCS), G<strong>en</strong>eral John Shalikashvili, who assured him that no crucial <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce hadbe<strong>en</strong> kept back. 2012 The military adviser to Boutros-Ghali, G<strong>en</strong>eral Van Kapp<strong>en</strong>, had also talked tovarious sources <strong>in</strong> the P<strong>en</strong>tagon about the issue of prior knowledge, where he had be<strong>en</strong> assured ‘handon heart’ that the <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong> question had not be<strong>en</strong> held. He had no reason whatsoever to doubtthis. 2013 So what is true of all these claims <strong>in</strong> the press and other publications that the CIA or otherag<strong>en</strong>cies was aware of the preparations for an attack? S<strong>in</strong>ce Mladic first <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d on 2 July to ‘shave’ the<strong>en</strong>clave at the southern edge and on 9 July to take over the <strong>en</strong>tire <strong>en</strong>clave, any prior knowledge of theattack would have be<strong>en</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imal and the aforem<strong>en</strong>tioned press reports cannot be true. Ambassador2006 Charles Lane and Thom Shanker, ‘Bosnia: What the CIA Didn’t Tell Us’, The New York Review of Books, 09/05/96. ForLane’s background <strong>in</strong> the <strong>de</strong>bate on Bosnia: cf. UNNY, UNPROFOR, Archive SRSG, Box 87717. Jim Shear to Akashi,15/10/94 and Charles Lane, ‘Brock Crook’, The New Republic, 05/09/94.2007 American FOIA, State <strong>De</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t memorandum, 19/12/96.2008 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terviews (13) and (54).2009 ‘The CIA and Bosnia: An Exchange’, New York Review of Books, 06/06/96.2010 Roy Gutman, ‘UN’s <strong>De</strong>adly <strong>De</strong>al’, Newsday, 29/05/96.2011 Charles Lane and Thom Shanker, ‘Bosnia: What the CIA Didn’t Tell Us’, The New York Review of Books, 09/05/96.2012 MoD, MIS/CO. Memorandum: to CDS; Re: <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> on attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica; Drafter: Lt. Col. Van Gel<strong>de</strong>re;Annotation: Col. J. Mul<strong>de</strong>r Head MIS/Army; 18/03/97.2013 B. Ummel<strong>en</strong>, ‘Ver<strong>en</strong>ig<strong>de</strong> Stat<strong>en</strong> ontk<strong>en</strong>n<strong>en</strong> wet<strong>en</strong>schap aanval op Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (United States d<strong>en</strong>ies knowledge of attackon Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica), <strong>De</strong> Limburger, 14/10/95.

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