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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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178received <strong>in</strong>tercepts, but account was always tak<strong>en</strong> of the possibility of dis<strong>in</strong>formation. In that period, asm<strong>en</strong>tioned, many Bosnian reports were s<strong>en</strong>t to the UN of large quantities of tanks and trucks thatcrossed the Dr<strong>in</strong>a.The American observers <strong>in</strong> his team were oft<strong>en</strong> frustrated by the response from Wash<strong>in</strong>gton,which only compla<strong>in</strong>ed there that their reports were <strong>in</strong>correct. Contradictory reports came fromWash<strong>in</strong>gton, but they also oft<strong>en</strong> appeared to conta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>correct <strong>in</strong>formation. Although one ofNiem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong>’s closest colleagues was a State <strong>De</strong>partm<strong>en</strong>t official, the Americans rema<strong>in</strong>ed reluctant toshare their <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce op<strong>en</strong>ly. 917 Therefore the mission was constantly confronted with dis<strong>in</strong>formationabout sundry tanks that crossed the Dr<strong>in</strong>a. A member of the mission gave as an example the attack onZepa, <strong>in</strong> which American and German services claimed that tanks had be<strong>en</strong> moved across the Dr<strong>in</strong>a. Itturned out later that the two services used differ<strong>en</strong>t aerial photographs, where the German photo wasnot of the Dr<strong>in</strong>a but of a completely differ<strong>en</strong>t river.The relationship with the US services improved later. The mission th<strong>en</strong> received <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>cefrom the CIA on trucks that were mov<strong>in</strong>g to and fro betwe<strong>en</strong> Serbia and Srpska. This service was ableto say precisely which trucks were <strong>in</strong>volved, the nature of the cargo, and the time and the place thatthey would cross. However, it was only <strong>in</strong> the autumn of 1995 that the mission received this918<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce rapidly and <strong>in</strong> good time; by which time American ground forces had arrived.A ‘very hot potato’ were the helicopter flights from Serbia to Srpska. The follow<strong>in</strong>g mysteriousepiso<strong>de</strong> may serve as an illustration. On 7 February 1995, Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> was phoned by UN negotiatorStolt<strong>en</strong>berg. Fifte<strong>en</strong> to tw<strong>en</strong>ty helicopter flights were said to have passed the bor<strong>de</strong>r, and to havelan<strong>de</strong>d somewhere near Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. These helicopters came from Serbia.919 The US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>cecommunity had probably <strong>in</strong>formed Stolt<strong>en</strong>berg of this. 920 Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> th<strong>en</strong> drafted a special report forthe Security Council. On 8 February came the Serbian d<strong>en</strong>ial that there had be<strong>en</strong> any flights; on 22February, Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> had a talk with Milosevic on the helicopter flights, which he also d<strong>en</strong>ied. On 2March, UNPROFOR reported aga<strong>in</strong> that betwe<strong>en</strong> 21 and 27 February n<strong>in</strong>ete<strong>en</strong> helicopters had flownfrom Serbia to Bosnia. Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> <strong>de</strong>man<strong>de</strong>d immediate clarification, but the VJ claimed that it knewnoth<strong>in</strong>g. 921 A new report was ma<strong>de</strong> on 27 March: this time it <strong>in</strong>volved 27 helicopters, which flew at anextremely high altitu<strong>de</strong> from Serbia to VRS territory. On the way back, the helicopters probably<strong>de</strong>liberately flew very low, so as to avoid the radar systems; Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> was told that the AWACS hadproblems track<strong>in</strong>g helicopters.Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> had earlier or<strong>de</strong>red a large-scale <strong>in</strong>vestigation. On 28 March 1995, Lieut<strong>en</strong>ant ColonelR. Gudmundsson pres<strong>en</strong>ted his f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs to Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong>. Betwe<strong>en</strong> October 1994 and March 1995,observers from the Belgra<strong>de</strong> airfield, Surc<strong>in</strong>, had recor<strong>de</strong>d a total of 73 cross bor<strong>de</strong>r helicopter flights.Radar tracks from various radar posts confirm this. All posts were l<strong>in</strong>ked with the two most importantair traffic cont<strong>rol</strong> c<strong>en</strong>tres: one <strong>in</strong> Zagreb and one <strong>in</strong> Belgra<strong>de</strong>. Four radars were available <strong>in</strong> Surc<strong>in</strong>, butthey did not have a wi<strong>de</strong> range. They were too far from the bor<strong>de</strong>r betwe<strong>en</strong> Bosnia and Serbia to beable to track low fly<strong>in</strong>g aircraft.The radar tracks came exclusively from a radar post that was situated approximately 90kilometres from the bor<strong>de</strong>r with Bosnia. The 79 violations were distributed as follows: there were 6violations of the No Fly Zone <strong>in</strong> Bosnia. This also <strong>in</strong>clu<strong>de</strong>d ABiH flights. 922 There were 13 violations<strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g flights from Serbia to Bosnia. The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g 60 violations were helicopter flights fromBosnia to Serbia. In March 1995, <strong>in</strong> other words shortly after the Black Flights to Tuzla, a total of 30917 Also regard<strong>in</strong>g the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g of the mission. At the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of March 1995, the United States had still ma<strong>de</strong> nof<strong>in</strong>ancial contribution. Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> also compla<strong>in</strong>ed about this: UNNY, UNPROFOR, Box #88041, file 4.4 Notes onMeet<strong>in</strong>gs, Bell to Akashi, 16/03/95; confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>formation (152).918 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (42).919 Interview with Tauno Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> and Aaro Suonio, 25/05/00.920 Confid<strong>en</strong>tial <strong>in</strong>terview (42).921 Interview with Tauno Niem<strong>in</strong><strong>en</strong> and Aaro Suonio, 25/05/00.922 For example near Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica: UNNY, DPKO. Janvier to Annan, Z-483, 26/03/95.

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