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C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

C. Wiebes - Intelligence en de oorlog in Bosnië 1992-1995. De rol van de inlichtingen- en veiligheidsdiensten - Engels

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193Chapter 5The Signals <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> war of the Western<strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services <strong>in</strong> and around Bosnia1. Introduction‘In God we trust, all others we monitor’(motto of an <strong>in</strong>tercept operator)Intercepted conversations played an important <strong>rol</strong>e dur<strong>in</strong>g the war <strong>in</strong> Bosnia and <strong>in</strong>terceptedcommunications traffic had become an area of <strong>in</strong>terest just a few months after the fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica.‘Intercepts’ and prior knowledge of the attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica have be<strong>en</strong> <strong>in</strong>extricably l<strong>in</strong>ked <strong>in</strong> variouspublications. The article by the journalist Andreas Zumach published <strong>in</strong> October 1995, also pr<strong>in</strong>ted <strong>in</strong>various newspapers <strong>in</strong> the Netherlands, can serve as an example here. 1026 Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Zumach varioussources claimed that from 17 June 1995 onwards, more than three weeks before the attack started,American <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services had monitored the daily conversations betwe<strong>en</strong> G<strong>en</strong>eral MomciloPerisic, Chief of Staff of the Yugoslav Army, the Vojska Jugoslavija (VJ), and G<strong>en</strong>eral Ratko Mladic.Zumach is not specific which US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce service was supposedly read<strong>in</strong>g this traffic and ismore or less lump<strong>in</strong>g all 17 US <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce services <strong>in</strong>to one group. Nevertheless, <strong>in</strong> theseconversations the two g<strong>en</strong>erals are said to have planned the operation aga<strong>in</strong>st Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica. Excerptsfrom these conversations were reportedly published. The conversations proved that the <strong>in</strong>itiative forthe attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica came from Belgra<strong>de</strong>. Perisic is said to have had command of the actual attackon the <strong>en</strong>clave. This <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce about the planned attack was not passed on to UNPROFOR <strong>in</strong> or<strong>de</strong>rnot to disrupt the peace efforts of Presid<strong>en</strong>t Cl<strong>in</strong>ton.1027 Wh<strong>en</strong> asked about this, <strong>De</strong>f<strong>en</strong>ce M<strong>in</strong>isterVoorhoeve said he was aware of these reports; he addressed an <strong>in</strong>quiry about their correctness to hisAmerican colleague William Perry. 1028Until the pres<strong>en</strong>t day, knowledge about the <strong>rol</strong>e and importance of Sig<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the years after the<strong>en</strong>d of the Second World War can actually best be <strong>de</strong>scribed as ‘an <strong>in</strong>v<strong>en</strong>tory of ignorance’. The Britishhistorian Christopher Andrew wrote:‘The biggest gap <strong>in</strong> our knowledge of United States <strong>in</strong>tellig<strong>en</strong>ce collectiondur<strong>in</strong>g the Cold War concerns the <strong>rol</strong>e of Sig<strong>in</strong>t. No history of the SecondWorld War nowadays fails to m<strong>en</strong>tion the <strong>rol</strong>e of the Anglo-American co<strong>de</strong>breakers <strong>in</strong> hast<strong>en</strong><strong>in</strong>g victory over Germany and Japan. By contrast, mosthistories of the Cold War make no refer<strong>en</strong>ce to Sig<strong>in</strong>t at all’. 10291026 Andreas Zumach, ‘US <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> knew Serbs were plann<strong>in</strong>g an assault on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’, Basic Reports, No. 47, 16/10/95.See also: ‘VS wist<strong>en</strong> <strong>van</strong> kom<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong> val Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (US knew of imp<strong>en</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica), Ne<strong>de</strong>rlands Dagblad, 13/10/95and ‘VS wist<strong>en</strong> al wek<strong>en</strong> tevor<strong>en</strong> <strong>van</strong> val Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (US knew about fall of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica weeks <strong>in</strong> ad<strong>van</strong>ce), <strong>De</strong> Gel<strong>de</strong>rlan<strong>de</strong>r,13/10/95.1027 See also: ‘Amerikan<strong>en</strong> verzweg<strong>en</strong> voork<strong>en</strong>nis Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (Americans kept ad<strong>van</strong>ce knowledge of Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica forthemselves), <strong>De</strong> Stem, 13/10/95.1028 Ewoud Nys<strong>in</strong>gh, ‘Joegoslavische g<strong>en</strong>eraal leid<strong>de</strong> aanval op Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica’ (Yugoslavian g<strong>en</strong>eral led attack on Srebr<strong>en</strong>ica), <strong>De</strong>Volkskrant, 31/10/95.1029 Christopher Andrew, ‘Conclusion: An Ag<strong>en</strong>da for Future Research’, <strong>Intellig<strong>en</strong>ce</strong> and National Security, Vol. 12 (1997) 1, p.228.

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