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annotated bibliography of fisheries economics literature - Office of ...

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year effects may have been as high as $47 million. More probable estimates <strong>of</strong><br />

the oil spill s actual social costs are likely less than these amounts.<br />

Precise determination <strong>of</strong> the accident s impacts is constrained by the dynamic<br />

interaction <strong>of</strong> numerous biological and economic variables.<br />

Collie, Jeremy S. and Paul D. Spencer (1994). Modeling Predator-Prey<br />

Dynamics in a Fluctuating Environment. Canadian Journal <strong>of</strong> Fisheries<br />

and Aquatic Sciences, 51(12):2665-2672.<br />

Large fluctuations in the abundance <strong>of</strong> marine fish are revealed in scale<br />

deposits from before the twentieth century and are thought to be<br />

environmentally induced. We investigate how a fluctuating environment and<br />

predation may combine to cause abrupt shifts in fish abundance on decadal time<br />

scales. For example, the biomass <strong>of</strong> Pacific herring (Clupea pallasi) <strong>of</strong>f<br />

Vancouver Island appears to be negatively related to sea surface temperature<br />

(SST) and the abundance <strong>of</strong> its predator, Pacific hake (Merluccius productus).<br />

We used first-order differential equations to develop a two species, predatorprey<br />

model faced with stochastic variability. A nonlinear, predator<br />

functional response potentially gives rise to multiple equilibrium abundance<br />

levels. Environmental variability was simulated as red noise (variance is a<br />

decreasing function <strong>of</strong> frequency) with a spectrum derived from SST data.<br />

Stochastic variations caused the predator-prey abundances to shift between<br />

high and low equilibrium levels. Fishing the prey population can precipitate<br />

collapses to the low equilibrium level and prolong the time to recovery. When<br />

run with actual catches and SST anomalies from 1951 to 1988, the model<br />

simulated prey abundances with a pattern similar to the observed herring<br />

biomass.<br />

Collins, Elaine V., Maureen Woods, Isobel C. Sheifer, and Janice Beattie<br />

(1994). Bibliography <strong>of</strong> Synthesis Documents on Selected Coastal Ocean<br />

Topics. Decision Analysis Series No. 3, NOAA Coastal Ocean Program,<br />

Coastal Ocean <strong>Office</strong>, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,<br />

1315 East West Highway (Sta. 15140), Silver Spring, MD, October.<br />

This <strong>bibliography</strong> is subdivided into four main topics or sections;<br />

ecosystems, coastal water body conditions, natural disasters, and resource<br />

management. In the ecosystems section, emphasis is placed on organisms in<br />

their environment on the major coastlines <strong>of</strong> the U.S. In the second section,<br />

coastal water body conditions, the environment itself is emphasized.<br />

References were found for the Alaskan coast, but none were found for Hawaii.<br />

The third section, coastal water body conditions, the environment itself is<br />

emphasized. References were found for the Alaskan coast, but none were found<br />

for Hawaii. The third section, on natural disasters, emphasizes environmental<br />

impacts resulting from natural phenomena. Guidelines, planning and management<br />

reports, modeling documents, strategic and restoration plans, and<br />

environmental <strong>economics</strong> related to sustainability are included in the fourth<br />

section, resource management. Author, geographic, and subject indices are<br />

provided.<br />

Comins, H.N. and M.P. Hassell (1979). "The Dynamics <strong>of</strong> Optimally<br />

Foraging Predators and Parasitoids." Journal <strong>of</strong> Animal Ecology,<br />

48:335-351.<br />

The paper bridges the gap between optimal foraging models and predatorprey<br />

or parasitoid-host population models. The parasitoid optimal foraging<br />

model that we derive assumes each individual parasitoid to maximize its rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> encounter with healthy hosts in a patchy environment. The model is used to<br />

generate the searching strategy <strong>of</strong> a population <strong>of</strong> parasitoids, from which<br />

their overall searching efficiency can be calculated. We then explore the<br />

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