annotated bibliography of fisheries economics literature - Office of ...

fishers' location choices. It employs ARIMA models to construct the price
forecasts used by fishers in a model that generates expected profits for three
fishing locations in the British Columbia salmon fishery. A random utility
model of fishing location choice is then estimated using two different sets of
regressors. The first is expected seasonal profit and its variability. The
second is expected wealth and its variability, where expected wealth is taken
to be the sum of the known preseason wealth and the expected profitability of
a given fishing location. Results show that expected profitability is a
significant determinant of fishing location choice but that expected wealth
plays an even bigger role. This suggests that there is a type of income or
stock effect present in decisions made by fishers. The results also provide
evidence that the variability of profits or wealth is generally a less
significant component in regard to fishing location choice. In fact, some
fishers thrive on greater variability, thereby providing some evidence of the
risk loving behavior typically attributed to fishers. This is not the case,
however, for all fishers since some are found to be risk neutral and even risk
averse.
Dupont, D.P. (1993). "Price Uncertainty, Expectations Formation and
Fishers' Location Choices." Marine Resource Economics, 8(3):219-
247.
This paper deals with the effects of uncertain output prices upon
fishers' location choices. It employs ARIMA models to construct the price
forecasts used by fishers in a model that generates expected profits for three
fishing locations in the British Columbia salmon fishery. A random utility
model of fishing location choice is then estimated using two different sets of
regressors. The first is expected seasonal profit and its variability. The
second is expected wealth and its variability, where expected wealth is taken
to be the sum of the known preseason wealth and the expected profitability of
a given fishing location. Results show that expected profitability is a
significant determinant of fishing location choice but that expected wealth
plays an even bigger role. This suggests that there is a type of income or
stock effect present in decisions made by fishers. The results also provide
evidence that the variability of profits or wealth is generally a less
significant component in regard to fishing location choice. In fact, some
fishers thrive on greater variability, thereby providing some evidence of the
risk loving behavior typically attributed to fishers. This is not the case,
however, for all fishers since some are found to be risk neutral and even risk
averse. Given the finding that fishers do respond to economic incentives, one
policy implication concerns the ability of fisheries managers to alter the
dispersion of fishers over fishing locations via the adjustment of the
economic incentives by means of differential royalty taxes. A second policy
implication results from the finding of risk loving behavior. This calls into
question models that assume risk averse behavior and predict a dominance of
corp sharing contracts over wage contracts.
Dupont, Diane P. and Shelley A. Phipps (1991). "Distributional
Consequences of Fisheries Regulations." Canadian Journal of
Economics, 24(1):206-220.
An empirical methodology for evaluating fisheries regulations in terms
of both rent gains and employment losses is proposed. A royalty tax and a
change in catch distribution among competing vessel types are compared with
the status quo of restricted access. The case study is the British Columbia
commercial salmon fishery. Results suggest that rent gains associated with
the alternatives are not always sufficient to compensate for losses in fishing
income.
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