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annotated bibliography of fisheries economics literature - Office of ...

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investigators.<br />

Hausman, J.A. and D.A. Wise (1978). "A Conditional Probit Model for<br />

Qualitative Choice: Discrete Decisions Recognizing Interdependence<br />

and Heterogeneous Preferences." Econometrica, Mar., pp. 403-26.<br />

A three response, unordered (general) probit model, an independent logit<br />

model, and independent probit model are estimated to explain the modal choice<br />

between driving own car, sharing a ride, and riding a bus for 557 workers in<br />

Washington, D.C. Logit and independent probit give similar results both in<br />

estimation and in the forecast <strong>of</strong> the probability <strong>of</strong> using a new mode.<br />

General probit differs significantly from the other two models both in<br />

estimation and the forecast about the new mode. General probit fits best.<br />

Primarily an article about the creation <strong>of</strong> a new computer program to estimate<br />

the parameters <strong>of</strong> a model.<br />

Havenner, Arthur and Masanao Aoki (1987). "Econometrics and Linear<br />

Systems Theory in Multivariate Time Series Analysis." Draft<br />

report, Department <strong>of</strong> Agricultural Economics, University <strong>of</strong><br />

California, Davis, March, 24 pp.<br />

An approach to modelling multivariate time series based on linear<br />

systems theory is presented and related to more traditional econometric<br />

methods to the advantage <strong>of</strong> both. The linear system theory development<br />

provides direct information on model choice, a set <strong>of</strong> exclusion restrictions<br />

that are not sequence dependent and are stable, an extension to multiple<br />

period forecast error trade<strong>of</strong>fs, and a formal norm on the approximation <strong>of</strong> the<br />

model to the observed autocovariance sequence, among other things. The link<br />

to econometrics, on the other hand, provides an interpretation <strong>of</strong> the<br />

criterion underlying the estimators, the sampling theory <strong>of</strong> the resulting<br />

estimators, and their properties, an understanding <strong>of</strong> certain (econometric)<br />

identification issues related to these estimators and suggested improvements<br />

based on the analysis, and straightforward tests <strong>of</strong> model order -- in addition<br />

to relating the linear systems procedure to a body <strong>of</strong> logic familiar to<br />

econometricians and statisticians.<br />

Hayenga, Wayne A., Ronald D. Lacewell, and Wade L. Griffin (1974). "An<br />

Economic and Financial Analysis <strong>of</strong> Gulf <strong>of</strong> Mexico Shrimp Vessels."<br />

MP-1138, The Texas A&M University System, Texas Agricultural<br />

Extension Service, Texas Agricultural Experiment Station.<br />

This report includes budgeted estimates <strong>of</strong> variable and fixed costs <strong>of</strong><br />

landing shrimp, estimated break-even annual shrimp catches with various shrimp<br />

prices for the vessel sizes <strong>of</strong> 53-65 foot and 66 to 72 foot lengths,<br />

evaluation <strong>of</strong> a prospective investment in a shrimp vessel entering the Gulf<br />

shrimping fleet, using internal rate <strong>of</strong> return and payback procedures <strong>of</strong><br />

investment analysis, and an updated estimated cost level for spring 1974.<br />

Hayes, Robert G. (1984). "Recommendations for Action: Panel 1 Marine<br />

Recreational Fisheries Development." Chapter 20 in Richard H.<br />

Stroud (ed.) Marine Recreational Fisheries, 9, Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Ninth Annual Marine Recreational Fisheries Symposium, Virginia<br />

Beach, Virginia, April 24 and 25, National Coalition for Marine<br />

Conservation, Inc., Savannah, Georgia.<br />

This paper attempts to define what Marine Recreational Fisheries<br />

development is and to suggest appropriate development actions for the future.<br />

I would like to start by making two fundamental points: 1) <strong>fisheries</strong><br />

development cannot be accomplished in a vacuum - it is clear that we need<br />

2 8 8

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