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annotated bibliography of fisheries economics literature - Office of ...

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To test the results <strong>of</strong> this methodological approach, a data set should<br />

be created based on a theoretical model <strong>of</strong> recreational fisherman behavior<br />

when exploiting a common property resource. Impose management regulations<br />

such as size and bag limits for a fishing trip. Estimate the model and<br />

compare the estimated parameters to the known or true parameters for<br />

management implications (consumer surplus). Modify the model with a catch and<br />

keep constraint, if known and estimated parameters differ and compare to the<br />

Milon elasticity results that seem counter intuitive on page 187.<br />

Milon, J.W. (1993). "A Study <strong>of</strong> Recreational Demand for Gulf <strong>of</strong> Mexico<br />

Group King Mackerel Using 1990 and 1991 MRFSS Data." Final Report<br />

for the Gulf <strong>of</strong> Mexico Fishery Management Council, Tampa, FL.<br />

Prepared by Food and Resource Economics Department, University <strong>of</strong><br />

Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0240, March.<br />

Using 1990 and 1991 MRFSS data, this study estimated pooled site travel<br />

cost demand models for anglers targeting king mackerel within the range <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Gulf group king mackerel stock. Econometric results from the models indicated<br />

that there was no statistical support for a positive relationship between king<br />

mackerel catch rates and demand. Alternative specifications <strong>of</strong> a pooled site<br />

travel cost demand model yielded inconsistent and mostly statically<br />

insignificant results for the catch rate variables. Other variables in the<br />

models performed as expected and were consistent with prior pooled site demand<br />

model results. Because king mackerel catch rates were not statistically<br />

significant determinants <strong>of</strong> recreational demand, it was not possible to<br />

compute net economic values (consumers' surplus) from the pooled site demand<br />

models. The econometric results raise serious concerns about the usefulness<br />

<strong>of</strong> travel cost demand models to estimate net economic values for recreational<br />

catch given the existing structure <strong>of</strong> the MRFSS. The intercept survey does<br />

not provide sufficient information to estimate changes in anglers' probability<br />

<strong>of</strong> targeting different species. More complete data and further research will<br />

be needed to provide fishery managers with reliable, defensible measures <strong>of</strong><br />

the net economic value <strong>of</strong> king mackerel to recreational anglers.<br />

Milon, J. Walter (1993). "U.S. Fisheries Management and Economic<br />

Analysis: Implications <strong>of</strong> the Alaskan Groundfish Controversy."<br />

Invited paper prepared for the annual meetings <strong>of</strong> the American<br />

Agricultural Economics Association, Orlando, Fl, August 2, 15 pp.<br />

The paper discusses the recent inspector general (IG) audit <strong>of</strong> the North<br />

Pacific Fishery Management Council's use <strong>of</strong> input-output analysis to determine<br />

Alaskan groundfish allocation. The IG determined that cost/benefit analysis<br />

should have been the basis for the decision. However, economic efficiency<br />

analysis is not destined to be used in allocation decisions in the future.<br />

Given the MFCMA and the national standards, future allocation decisions can be<br />

made regardless <strong>of</strong> whether benefits exceed costs or not.<br />

Milon, J. Walter (1993). "U.S. Fisheries Management and Economic<br />

Analysis: Implications <strong>of</strong> the Alaskan Groundfish Controversy."<br />

American Journal <strong>of</strong> Agricultural Economics, 75(5):1177-1182.<br />

The paper discusses the recent inspector general (IG) audit <strong>of</strong> the North<br />

Pacific Fishery Management Council's use <strong>of</strong> input-output analysis to determine<br />

Alaskan groundfish allocation. The IG determined that cost/benefit analysis<br />

should have been the basis for the decision. However, economic efficiency<br />

analysis is not destined to be used in allocation decisions in the future.<br />

Given the MFCMA and the national standards, future allocation decisions can be<br />

made regardless <strong>of</strong> whether benefits exceed costs or not.<br />

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