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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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Europe (CFE) agreement; ballistic missile defense; <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the inclusi<strong>on</strong> of all states possessing nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in the negotiati<strong>on</strong> forum, instead of just a U.S.-Russia<br />

bilateral format. Moreover, the resumpti<strong>on</strong> of talks<br />

could lead to c<strong>on</strong>fidence-building measures (CBMs) in<br />

the short term to reduce the military threat <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> to reduce<br />

political tensi<strong>on</strong>s in Europe. CBMs could include<br />

greater transparency, am<strong>on</strong>g other matters, resulting<br />

in a final resoluti<strong>on</strong> of just how many NSNWs <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Russia possess.<br />

THE RUSSIAN POLITICAL PERSPECTIVE<br />

Arms c<strong>on</strong>trol talks are, of course, as political as<br />

they are military. Merely pursuing arms c<strong>on</strong>trol talks<br />

with the United States can have political payoffs internati<strong>on</strong>ally<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> domestically by reaffirming the importance<br />

of Russia as a key player in the internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

system. President Vladimir Putin, for instance, pursued<br />

strategic arms reducti<strong>on</strong> with the United States,<br />

resulting in the Treaty of Moscow (also known as the<br />

<strong>Strategic</strong> Offensive Reducti<strong>on</strong> Treaty or SORT) in May<br />

2002, in part as a way to score a foreign policy victory<br />

early in his term.<br />

There are also a number of important political-ec<strong>on</strong>omic-demographic<br />

issues that influence the Russian<br />

perspective <strong>on</strong> NSNWs. These include key domestic<br />

elements, such as the eliminati<strong>on</strong> of corrupti<strong>on</strong> in the<br />

military modernizati<strong>on</strong> process, which stymies rapid<br />

progress toward reform; the efficient allocati<strong>on</strong> of resources<br />

to develop PGMs; the producti<strong>on</strong> of sufficient<br />

oil <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> gas to generate income in the face of declining<br />

oil <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> gas prices <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> projected declining producti<strong>on</strong><br />

of oil <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> gas; <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the numerical decline of the Russian<br />

populati<strong>on</strong>, which simultaneously means fewer work-<br />

112

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