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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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pursuing strategic dialogues with its allies <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> partners<br />

in East Asia <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Middle East to determine<br />

how best to cooperatively strengthen regi<strong>on</strong>al security<br />

architectures to enhance peace <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> security, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> reassure<br />

them that U.S. extended deterrence is credible<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> effective. 26<br />

Despite a 20-year declarati<strong>on</strong> by the United States<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> that U.S. NSNWs would be kept up to date<br />

as necessary <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> deployed in Europe, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> that these<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s provided an essential military <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> political<br />

link between Europe <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> North America, the 2010<br />

NPR dropped this critical phrasing. 27 So did <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s<br />

new <strong>Strategic</strong> C<strong>on</strong>cept that was approved in the Lisb<strong>on</strong>,<br />

Portugal Summit in November 2010. 28 These changes<br />

in phraseology, while not highlighted by U.S. or Alliance<br />

leaders, nevertheless represent a significant departure<br />

from the st<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ard post-Cold War deterrence<br />

formula, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> leave the door open for a future Alliance<br />

decisi<strong>on</strong> to remove the remaining U.S. warheads located<br />

in the European theater.<br />

CURRENT U.S. NSNW FORCE STRUCTURE AND<br />

MODERNIZATION PLANS<br />

The George W. Bush administrati<strong>on</strong> emphasized<br />

the possible role for nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s in regi<strong>on</strong>al c<strong>on</strong>tingencies<br />

in its 2001 NPR. At the same time, however,<br />

it pointed out that the United States had reduced its<br />

reliance <strong>on</strong> nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s by increasing the role of<br />

missile defenses <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> precisi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al weap<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in the U.S. deterrent posture. 29 Similarly, the Obama<br />

administrati<strong>on</strong>, in its 2010 NPR, indicated that the<br />

United States would reduce the role of nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in U.S. regi<strong>on</strong>al deterrence strategies by increasing<br />

its reliance <strong>on</strong> missile defenses <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> precisi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>-<br />

339

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