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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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ally; it is just that others are accelerating faster. Nor<br />

does Russia find itself <strong>on</strong> a steady power gain relative<br />

to other nati<strong>on</strong>s. It, too, has to deal with realities <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

weaknesses that help to inform its stance <strong>on</strong> NSNWs<br />

in additi<strong>on</strong> to globalism.<br />

GEOGRAPHY, POPULATION, AND MILITARY<br />

MALADIES<br />

No paper <strong>on</strong> Russian strategy or geopolitics can<br />

ignore a factor that will be <strong>on</strong>ly briefly menti<strong>on</strong>ed<br />

here: Russia’s geographical positi<strong>on</strong>. The subject is<br />

covered more thoroughly in the c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong>s by Le<strong>on</strong>id<br />

Polyakov <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Jacob Kipp in this secti<strong>on</strong> of the<br />

book, but it must be noted here that Russia borders<br />

<strong>on</strong> many nati<strong>on</strong>s—14 in all—<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has str<strong>on</strong>g historical<br />

interests in at least five more in the Southern Caucasus<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Central Eurasia. No other nati<strong>on</strong> has such a<br />

similar complex <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> troubling geographic situati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

How easy the United States has it from this perspective,<br />

with <strong>on</strong>ly Mexico <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Canada as bordering countries!<br />

Russia’s geography profoundly affects its strategic<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> geopolitical views <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> pushes it naturally to<br />

a more multilateral approach to internati<strong>on</strong>al politics<br />

today—especially under the c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s more fully<br />

discussed below. This is <strong>on</strong>e factor <strong>on</strong>ly, of course, but<br />

it profoundly influences Russian foreign policy, making<br />

it sensitive to challenges from the south <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> west.<br />

A sec<strong>on</strong>d factor, stemming from the domestic side,<br />

is the Russian populati<strong>on</strong> “bomb,” or the matter of<br />

the decrease in Russia’s populati<strong>on</strong>. It links closely<br />

to Russia’s percepti<strong>on</strong> of threats to nati<strong>on</strong>al security<br />

because it has a direct impact <strong>on</strong> maintaining a <strong>on</strong>e<br />

milli<strong>on</strong>-man army, discussed below, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> Russian<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic producti<strong>on</strong>, two factors normally associated<br />

181

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