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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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widely heralded move to flexible resp<strong>on</strong>se may have<br />

been less of a change in practice than is comm<strong>on</strong>ly assumed.<br />

26<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>al Attitudes to TNWs.<br />

Quite unlike strategic nuclear forces, TNWs, by<br />

their forward-based physical presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> likely use<br />

in defensive combat <strong>on</strong> or over Allied territory, c<strong>on</strong>fr<strong>on</strong>t<br />

members of alliances like <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> with very c<strong>on</strong>crete<br />

choices over potential use. Europeans resp<strong>on</strong>ded<br />

in different ways to the deployment of TNWs <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

dilemmas posed by timing <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s of their<br />

employment. For most <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> allies, the inescapable<br />

choice was between the binary risks of entanglement 27<br />

(being caught up, if deterrence failed, in a nuclear<br />

war, perhaps starting far from Europe <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> escalating<br />

faster than they would have chosen) or ab<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><strong>on</strong>ment<br />

(being left exposed through “decoupling” to the prospect<br />

of Soviet intimidati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>quest, or c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>ally<br />

irreversible seize-<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>-hold occupati<strong>on</strong> should<br />

the Americans fall short <strong>on</strong> their nuclear guarantees).<br />

The recurrent disputes <strong>on</strong> Alliance nuclear posture involved<br />

cycling between these poles of anxiety. For the<br />

United States, the c<strong>on</strong>comitant problem of extended<br />

nuclear deterrence was, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> remains, “simply the<br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al political problem of credibility of retaliati<strong>on</strong><br />

with potentially suicidal c<strong>on</strong>sequences against<br />

serious, but not inevitably fatal, threats.” 28 Reaching<br />

agreement <strong>on</strong> the timing <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> circumstances of the Alliance’s<br />

resp<strong>on</strong>se with TNWs inevitably focused attenti<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>on</strong> this dilemma, which was logically insoluble,<br />

yet had to be—<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has been—politically managed,<br />

very largely by creating a comm<strong>on</strong> deterrence culture<br />

within which joint planning for nuclear c<strong>on</strong>tingencies<br />

could be c<strong>on</strong>ducted <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> normalized.<br />

25

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