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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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5. “The positi<strong>on</strong> we have reached is <strong>on</strong>e where stability depends<br />

<strong>on</strong> something that is more the antithesis of strategy than<br />

its apotheosis <strong>on</strong> threats that things will get out of h<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>, that we<br />

might act irrati<strong>on</strong>ally, that possibly through an inadvertence we<br />

could set in moti<strong>on</strong> a process which in its development <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong><br />

would be bey<strong>on</strong>d human c<strong>on</strong>trol <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> comprehensi<strong>on</strong>.”<br />

Ibid., p. 458.<br />

6. Gord<strong>on</strong> S. Barras, The Great Cold War: A Journey through a<br />

Wilderness of Mirrors, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press,<br />

2009, pp. 63-64. Barras was an intelligence insider throughout<br />

much of the Cold War. His account is often based <strong>on</strong> pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />

knowledge of events <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> detailed interviews with participants.<br />

7. Michael O. Wheeler, “<str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Strategy, 1949-90,”<br />

Gustave Schmidt, ed., A History of <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> the First 50 Years, Vol. 3,<br />

Basingstoke, UK, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> New York: Palgrave, 2001, p. 122.<br />

8. But the estimates of Russian military power were almost<br />

certainly very seriously exaggerated. See the impressive list of references<br />

compiled by Vojtech Mastny, “Imagining War in Europe,”<br />

in Vojtech Mastny, Sven G. Holtsmark, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Andreas Wenger,<br />

eds., War Plans <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Alliances in the Cold War: Threat Percepti<strong>on</strong>s in<br />

the East <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> West, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, UK, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> New York: Routledge, 2006,<br />

p. 16, n. 1.<br />

9. Stephen E. Miller, “The Utility of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Weap<strong>on</strong>s</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

Strategy of No First Use,” Pugwash C<strong>on</strong>ferences <strong>on</strong> Science <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

World Affairs, 2002.<br />

10. “It is essential to our policy that we shall have to use nukes<br />

in the end; all else fails to save Berlin <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> it is fundamental that<br />

the Russians underst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> this fact.” J. F. Kennedy to General Lucius<br />

Clay, October 8, 1961, quoted in Robert J. McMah<strong>on</strong>, “US<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>al Security Policy, Eisenhower to Kennedy,” in Melvin P.<br />

Leffler <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Odd Arnie Wested, eds., The Cambridge History of the<br />

Cold War, Vol. 1: Origins, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University<br />

Press, 2010, p. 309.<br />

11. Raym<strong>on</strong>d Ar<strong>on</strong>, On War: Atomic <str<strong>on</strong>g>Weap<strong>on</strong>s</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Global Diplomacy,<br />

L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>, UK: Secker <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Warburg, 1958, p. 36.<br />

65

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