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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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Of course, the evolving European positi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the<br />

provisi<strong>on</strong> of missile defenses for the Alliance will have<br />

a bearing <strong>on</strong> how nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s fit into the portfolio<br />

of defense <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> deterrence opti<strong>on</strong>s. The issue over<br />

the extent to which these opti<strong>on</strong>s were alternative or<br />

complementary approaches was part of the discussi<strong>on</strong><br />

from early <strong>on</strong> in the debate. Positi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> this issue are<br />

likely to evolve as the missile defense architecture in<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> around Europe starts to mature. Clearly, all the<br />

potential sensitivities surrounding this discussi<strong>on</strong> are<br />

mixed up with lingering c<strong>on</strong>cerns about the Alliance’s<br />

adaptability <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tinuing relevance more broadly,<br />

or else the <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> approach to the matter up to now<br />

would have been more categorical <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>fident.<br />

Might <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> have avoided some of the potential<br />

pitfalls if it had been more transparent historically<br />

about the enduring role of nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s in<br />

its arsenal in Europe? Clearly it suited the Alliance to<br />

deemphasize that role over a l<strong>on</strong>g period, indeed not<br />

to talk about the weap<strong>on</strong>s at all, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> that is in part<br />

resp<strong>on</strong>sible for the low level of public awareness <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

underst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ing of the matter now. A greater c<strong>on</strong>tinuity<br />

of debate might have made the dilemmas now less<br />

acute. The actual state of affairs is such that whatever<br />

arrangement <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> chooses for now is likely to provoke<br />

some degree of c<strong>on</strong>troversy, with or without a<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinuing role for the U.S. B-61 bombs.<br />

The reality that Germany, a salient Alliance voice,<br />

appears to have retreated from its initial positi<strong>on</strong> is<br />

perhaps the most significant element in shaping how<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> will proceed. As well as sec<strong>on</strong>d thoughts <strong>on</strong><br />

the issue itself, it now has its h<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>s full with a host<br />

of other more pressing problems. B<strong>on</strong>n now seems to<br />

have settled <strong>on</strong> accepting <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s identity as a nuclear<br />

alliance, but without requiring nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong><br />

318

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