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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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esp<strong>on</strong>se: without it, the Allies were unlikely to agree<br />

in peacetime over the role <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> timing of TNW use.<br />

Here, Sir Michael Quinn describes the tactic of deliberate<br />

ambiguity:<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s public declarati<strong>on</strong>s were carefully worded<br />

for Soviet c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>. . . . We rightly believed Soviet<br />

intelligence would obtain accounts of the policy discussi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

that had taken place behind closed doors, so<br />

we tried to ensure that two key messages got through<br />

to Moscow—first, <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> had faced up to the tough<br />

issues of nuclear use; <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>d, <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> would not<br />

take provocative or hasty acti<strong>on</strong>. 68<br />

General Hans Steyning v<strong>on</strong> S<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>rart, Comm<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>er<br />

of <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> Central Fr<strong>on</strong>t, elaborated: “We had <strong>on</strong>e great<br />

advantage. . . . Despite all its knowledge of <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>, the<br />

Soviet General Staff could never be certain of the exact<br />

circumstances in which we would ‘go nuclear’ for the<br />

simple reas<strong>on</strong> that the members of <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> themselves<br />

did not know.” 69 The c<strong>on</strong>venient official formulati<strong>on</strong><br />

was to say that <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> would use TNWs “as late as<br />

possible, but as early as necessary.” 70 This was deterrence<br />

as much by default as design. 71<br />

Creati<strong>on</strong> of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Planning Group.<br />

The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> Planning Group (NPG) grew out of<br />

the McNamara Special Committee <strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> C<strong>on</strong>sultati<strong>on</strong><br />

in 1965-56. 72 Its major prospective advantage<br />

was Soviet acquiescence. The Soviet Uni<strong>on</strong> had<br />

indicated that, unlike its strenuous objecti<strong>on</strong>s to Germany’s<br />

membership in the MLF, Moscow would not<br />

object to Germany’s accessing nuclear decisi<strong>on</strong>making<br />

through the NPG, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> would therefore not use<br />

this issue to block negotiati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nuclear</str<strong>on</strong>g> N<strong>on</strong>-<br />

41

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