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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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ment of U.S. nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s in Europe will c<strong>on</strong>tinue<br />

to serve as a deterrent against any Russian temptati<strong>on</strong><br />

to exploit the presence of its NSNWs to threaten, intimidate,<br />

or coerce <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> allies or others, especially<br />

in crisis. The c<strong>on</strong>tinued presence of U.S. nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s<br />

in Europe will provide Allies with sufficient assurance<br />

to deter them from developing their own nuclear<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s capabilities. So far as the DDPR in Chicago is<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cerned, Roberts expresses the view that when the<br />

dust has settled, “the U.S. nuclear presence in Europe<br />

[will be] affirmed.”<br />

The circumstances under which nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s<br />

might be employed in a European crisis or c<strong>on</strong>flict<br />

have changed dramatically with the end of the Cold<br />

War. Article V of the North Atlantic Treaty, invoked<br />

in resp<strong>on</strong>se to the September 11, 2001, strike <strong>on</strong> the<br />

United States, remains very much in force. Russia has<br />

promulgated a new first-use doctrine for its n<strong>on</strong>-strategic<br />

nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s as a means to “de-escalate” a<br />

c<strong>on</strong>flict or crisis that it c<strong>on</strong>siders to be a threat to Russia<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> its people. It has practiced this doctrine in exercises;<br />

some speculate that it does so to compensate<br />

for its inferiority in c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al military capabilities.<br />

In stark c<strong>on</strong>trast to the Cold War discussi<strong>on</strong>s of how<br />

“Flexible Resp<strong>on</strong>se” might play out in the face of a<br />

Warsaw Pact attack, the kinds of c<strong>on</strong>tingencies under<br />

which <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> might employ its nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s today<br />

attract few discussants. Perhaps this reticence is<br />

the result of the underlying reality that <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> nuclear<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s are in fact “used” every day that they deter<br />

others from employing them against <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> members.<br />

326

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