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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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years. Signs of progress include the entry into force<br />

of the New START Treaty, the successful 2010 NPT<br />

Review C<strong>on</strong>ference, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> statements by the Russian<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> U.S. Presidents in support of a world free of nuclear<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s. In spite of these encouraging signs,<br />

however, the prospects for successful arms c<strong>on</strong>trol in<br />

Europe are looking rather dim. The CFE Treaty was<br />

suspended by Russia in December 2007 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> is likely<br />

to lapse completely in the near future. Despite several<br />

attempts to resolve the deadlock, a soluti<strong>on</strong> has not<br />

yet been found. The CFE Review C<strong>on</strong>ference in September<br />

2011 did not bring any progress. Following its<br />

negotiati<strong>on</strong> in 1989, the CFE Treaty made a historic<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to the establishment of a safe <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> peaceful<br />

milieu in Central <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Eastern Europe. It helped to<br />

frame the unificati<strong>on</strong> of Germany, the dissoluti<strong>on</strong> of<br />

the Warsaw Pact, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the fall of the Soviet Uni<strong>on</strong>. 32<br />

A new basic framework has not yet been found. Sufficiency<br />

instead of parity, a mechanism for addressing<br />

sub-regi<strong>on</strong>al disparities, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> preservati<strong>on</strong> of rules for<br />

verifiable transparency, are vital desiderata for a new<br />

treaty that provides important sources of predictability<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> reliability in Europe.<br />

Russia links further progress in arms c<strong>on</strong>trol to reducti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

of the imbalances of c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al forces <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

other armaments. Moscow is worried about the buildup<br />

of ballistic missile defense capabilities in Europe,<br />

the U.S. investment in precisi<strong>on</strong>-guided l<strong>on</strong>g-range<br />

carrier-based systems, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the use of outer-space<br />

for c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al warfare, which could undermine<br />

Russia´s nuclear deterrent in the future. Prompt Global<br />

Strike (PGS) is a U.S. program to enable accurate<br />

strike opti<strong>on</strong>s against high-value targets worldwide<br />

within 1 hour. Some new U.S. l<strong>on</strong>g-range delivery<br />

systems with high accuracy for preventive strike are<br />

272

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