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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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ope is illustrative of a more fundamental problem of<br />

strategic incoherence that plagues both <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

European Uni<strong>on</strong> (EU). Both instituti<strong>on</strong>s have engaged<br />

in sophisticated forms of obfuscati<strong>on</strong> in order to rec<strong>on</strong>cile<br />

the multiple interests <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>cerns of their<br />

member states <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> preserve maximum policy flexibility.<br />

For example, <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s 2010 <strong>Strategic</strong> C<strong>on</strong>cept drops<br />

the specific commitment of its predecessor (the 1999<br />

<strong>Strategic</strong> C<strong>on</strong>cept) to maintain the dual-capable aircraft<br />

(DCA) that serve as the delivery systems for the<br />

forward-deployed TNWs. This kind of commitment<br />

avoidance makes sense from a diplomatic point of<br />

view, but it is at the expense of the Alliance’s strategic<br />

clarity.<br />

The sec<strong>on</strong>d factor that c<strong>on</strong>tributes to the impasse<br />

over the future of TNWs is fundamental disagreement<br />

within <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> about the removal or retenti<strong>on</strong><br />

of these systems. At the core of this disagreement are<br />

the positi<strong>on</strong>s taken by the two leading nati<strong>on</strong>s of the<br />

EU. France, which still celebrates its force de frappe<br />

as a source of status <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> security, is opposed to the<br />

removal of TNWs from Europe, or any significant<br />

change in <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s strategic doctrine, because such<br />

acti<strong>on</strong> might make it harder for Paris to maintain its<br />

own nuclear posture. This positi<strong>on</strong> has placed France<br />

in direct c<strong>on</strong>flict with Germany, which has taken <strong>on</strong><br />

the role of leader of the Alliance’s pro-nuclear disarmament<br />

wing. All other European <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> members<br />

have staked out positi<strong>on</strong>s between these two poles, or<br />

avoided making commitments. The chapters by Paolo<br />

Foradori <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Götz Neuneck in this secti<strong>on</strong> provide<br />

readers with informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> where most of the major<br />

European <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> allies are located <strong>on</strong> this c<strong>on</strong>tinuum.<br />

The third barrier to progress is the role played by<br />

Russia in the evolving debate over TNWs. Or perhaps<br />

230

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