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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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CHAPTER 23<br />

SUMMING UP AND ISSUES FOR THE FUTURE<br />

Tom Nichols<br />

Douglas Stuart<br />

Jeffrey D. McCausl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

The authors <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> analysts who participated in this<br />

c<strong>on</strong>ference set themselves a difficult task: to c<strong>on</strong>sider<br />

the role <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> future of tactical or n<strong>on</strong>-strategic nuclear<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s (NSNWs) in the North Atlantic alliance.<br />

Their answers cover a range of views, but at least two<br />

salient c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s emerge from this volume. First, it<br />

should be evident that in the more than 2 decades since<br />

the end of the Cold War, the problem itself—that is,<br />

the questi<strong>on</strong> of what to do with weap<strong>on</strong>s designed in<br />

a previous century for the possibility of a World War<br />

III—is understudied, both inside <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> outside of government.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Tactical</str<strong>on</strong>g> weap<strong>on</strong>s, although less awesome<br />

than their strategic siblings, carry significant security<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> political risks, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> they have not received the attenti<strong>on</strong><br />

that is commensurate with their importance.<br />

Sec<strong>on</strong>d, it is clear that whatever the future of these<br />

arms, the status quo is unacceptable. It is past the time<br />

for the North Atlantic Treaty Organizati<strong>on</strong> (<str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>)<br />

to make more resolute decisi<strong>on</strong>s, a coherent strategy,<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> more definite plans about its nuclear status.<br />

These decisi<strong>on</strong>s are fundamental to the identity of<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>. The United States <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> its closest allies must<br />

define what, exactly, the Alliance believes c<strong>on</strong>stitute<br />

its greatest threats in the future, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in doing so must<br />

clarify <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g>’s identity, purpose, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> corresp<strong>on</strong>ding<br />

force requirements. So far, <str<strong>on</strong>g>NATO</str<strong>on</strong>g> remains a “nuclear<br />

alliance,” but it is increasingly hard to define what<br />

507

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