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Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO.pdf - Program on Strategic ...

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ut their power imposes restraint up<strong>on</strong> the acti<strong>on</strong>s of<br />

princes by holding out the prospect of Armagedd<strong>on</strong>:<br />

They are an effective means of preventing large-scale<br />

wars <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> mass destructi<strong>on</strong> of people—something that<br />

humanity has engaged in throughout its history with<br />

surprising perseverance, destroying peoples, countries,<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> cultures. 36<br />

Humanity has not yet created any other means to<br />

prevent such general wars, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> so Karaganov sees<br />

nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s as the <strong>on</strong>ly existing check <strong>on</strong> such<br />

destructi<strong>on</strong>: “The world has survived <strong>on</strong>ly thanks to<br />

the nuclear sword of Damocles hanging over it.” 37<br />

Karaganov makes two related points regarding strategic<br />

stability <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s that are particularly<br />

relevant to our discussi<strong>on</strong> of TNWs. First, strategic nuclear<br />

weap<strong>on</strong>s can have useful sec<strong>on</strong>dary impacts for<br />

other powers. He asserts that China’s relative freedom<br />

of acti<strong>on</strong> in the post-Cold War world was c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>ed<br />

by the existence of the Russian strategic nuclear arsenal,<br />

which served to inhibit acti<strong>on</strong>s by other powers<br />

against China, making its ec<strong>on</strong>omic transformati<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> political recogniti<strong>on</strong> as a major global power possible:<br />

One can hardly c<strong>on</strong>ceive China’s skyrocketing ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

upturn, if there had been no Russian-U.S. nuclear<br />

parity in the world,which makes any full-blown<br />

war inadmissible due to the possibility of its escalati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

I will remind [the reader] that big-time players<br />

have been suppressing China’s development militarily<br />

for about 150 years. At present, this kind of policy<br />

appears unthinkable. 38<br />

Karaganov’s interpretati<strong>on</strong> of the internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

system during the Cold War identifies nuclear deter-<br />

134

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