13.05.2018 Views

merged

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Vaccine<br />

Acceptance Population in Malaysia<br />

Diong Pei Yun<br />

Supervisor: Dr. Auni Aslah Bin Mat Daud<br />

Bachelor of Science (Financial Mathematics)<br />

School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics<br />

Vaccine acceptance refers a spectrum of behaviors and beliefs from the rejection of all<br />

vaccines to accept all the vaccines. The objectives of this study are to construct a<br />

mathematical model of vaccine acceptance population, carry out the stability analysis of<br />

the model to investigate the behavior of the model and perform the sensitivity analysis<br />

on the model parameters to determine the key model parameters for the selection of the<br />

most effective control strategies. The dependent variables of the model are vaccine<br />

acceptance population, vaccine hesitant population and vaccine refusal population.<br />

Besides, the model is governed by a system of three first-order ordinary differential<br />

equations. The model has six possible equilibrium points. Wolfram Mathematica 11 is<br />

used to find out the equilibrium points. The local stability analysis is carried out using<br />

Jacobian matrix and Routh-Hurwitz criteria. The normalized forward sensitivity index is<br />

used in the sensitivity analysis.<br />

802 | UMT UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH DAY 2018

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!