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Mathematical Modelling and Analysis of Political
Tendency in Two-Party System
Nor Azierah Binti Dawam
Supervisor: Dr. Auni Aslah Binti Mat Daud
Bachelor of Science (Financial Mathematics)
School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics
Malaysia is one of the countries which practices a Two-Party System. In this study, a
mathematical model for the population dynamics of the voters in the Two-Party System
is proposed. The dependent variables of the model are number of indecisive voters,
number of Barisan Nasional supporters, and number of Pakatan Rakyat supporters. The
model is governed by a system of non-linear first order ordinary differential equations.
The equilibrium points of the model have been obtained analytically and MATLAB is used
to verify the results that obtained manually. Their local asymptotic stability has been
analysed using Routh Hurwitz criteria. The result of this study shows that the equilibrium
points are locally asymptotic stable. The sensitivity analysis is carried out using the
normalized forward sensitivity index to identify the dominant parameters in the dynamics
of voters.
843 | UMT UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH DAY 2018