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Dynamics Analysis for Earth’s Climate System<br />

Nurul Nadhirah Binti Ag Ahmad<br />

Supervisor: Dr. Ummu ‘Atiqah Binti Mohd Roslan<br />

Bachelor of Science (Computational Mathematics)<br />

School of Informatics and Applied Mathematics<br />

It is well known that climate system is complex, unpredictable and chaotic. In this project,<br />

we consider a Lorenz system namely the Earth’s Climate System (ECS) model on how it<br />

related to the climate change. The objectives of this project are to investigate the<br />

behaviour of ECS model over time by using time series, to examine the stability of<br />

equilibrium point at ECS model by using stability analysis, and to study the sensitive<br />

dependence on initial condition of the model. Our results showed that the time series plot<br />

obtained for ECS model can be used to predict the behaviour of climate system. Thus,<br />

for stability analysis results, we obtained that the equilibrium points are saddle and thus<br />

unstable. Finally, we have shown that ECS model is sensitive to different initial condition<br />

and this indicates that this model has chaotic behaviour.<br />

994 | UMT UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH DAY 2018

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